Forecast models show substantial uncertainty for Wellington’s minimum temperature on August 23, with northwest winds and a passing frontal system expected to deliver daytime highs near 13–15 °C before skies clear overnight. Radiative cooling under reduced cloud cover could allow the mercury to drop toward single digits Celsius, yet strong gradient winds may limit boundary-layer decoupling and keep readings closer to 10–11 °C. Ensemble spreads reflect variable steering patterns and precipitation timing, producing closely matched market-implied probabilities around 10–11 °C while assigning non-negligible weight to colder outliers if a brief southerly change arrives. Official MetService and international guidance will be updated through the weekend, directly informing the final observed minimum.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Веллингтоне 23 августа?
Самая низкая температура в Веллингтоне 23 августа?
11°C 37%
10°C 30%
12°C 18%
13°C 17%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
23 авг. 2026 г.
5°C или ниже
1%
6°C
11%
7°C
11%
8°C
14%
9°C
16%
10°C
30%
11°C
33%
12°C
18%
13°C
17%
14°C
8%
15°C или выше
1%
11°C 37%
10°C 30%
12°C 18%
13°C 17%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
23 авг. 2026 г.
5°C или ниже
$32 Объем
1%
6°C
$20 Объем
11%
7°C
$20 Объем
11%
8°C
$0 Объем
14%
9°C
$0 Объем
16%
10°C
$0 Объем
30%
11°C
$9 Объем
33%
12°C
$55 Объем
18%
13°C
$27 Объем
17%
14°C
$5 Объем
8%
15°C или выше
$27 Объем
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models show substantial uncertainty for Wellington’s minimum temperature on August 23, with northwest winds and a passing frontal system expected to deliver daytime highs near 13–15 °C before skies clear overnight. Radiative cooling under reduced cloud cover could allow the mercury to drop toward single digits Celsius, yet strong gradient winds may limit boundary-layer decoupling and keep readings closer to 10–11 °C. Ensemble spreads reflect variable steering patterns and precipitation timing, producing closely matched market-implied probabilities around 10–11 °C while assigning non-negligible weight to colder outliers if a brief southerly change arrives. Official MetService and international guidance will be updated through the weekend, directly informing the final observed minimum.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Объем
$194Дата окончания
23 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models show substantial uncertainty for Wellington’s minimum temperature on August 23, with northwest winds and a passing frontal system expected to deliver daytime highs near 13–15 °C before skies clear overnight. Radiative cooling under reduced cloud cover could allow the mercury to drop toward single digits Celsius, yet strong gradient winds may limit boundary-layer decoupling and keep readings closer to 10–11 °C. Ensemble spreads reflect variable steering patterns and precipitation timing, producing closely matched market-implied probabilities around 10–11 °C while assigning non-negligible weight to colder outliers if a brief southerly change arrives. Official MetService and international guidance will be updated through the weekend, directly informing the final observed minimum.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$194Дата окончания
23 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models show substantial uncertainty for Wellington’s minimum temperature on August 23, with northwest winds and a passing frontal system expected to deliver daytime highs near 13–15 °C before skies clear overnight. Radiative cooling under reduced cloud cover could allow the mercury to drop toward single digits Celsius, yet strong gradient winds may limit boundary-layer decoupling and keep readings closer to 10–11 °C. Ensemble spreads reflect variable steering patterns and precipitation timing, producing closely matched market-implied probabilities around 10–11 °C while assigning non-negligible weight to colder outliers if a brief southerly change arrives. Official MetService and international guidance will be updated through the weekend, directly informing the final observed minimum.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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