Trader consensus prices "Nothing" at 58.5% for the March market after none of the specified triggers materialized by March 31, including no Federal Reserve rate cut—held steady at 3.5%-3.75% in its March meeting—no Trump declaration of a national emergency on election interference, no invocation of the Insurrection Act, stalled SAVE Act without signature, no Iranian regime collapse despite Mojtaba Khamenei's March 8 leadership transition following his father's late February death, and a Texas Senate primary outcome where James Talarico secured the Democratic nomination but John Cornyn advanced to a GOP runoff rather than direct general election candidacy. With primaries now certified, the market awaits UMA oracle resolution amid lingering interpretive questions on regime stability and candidacy definitions, reflecting cautious trader sentiment on final verification.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоНичего
$336,357 Объем
$336,357 Объем
31 мар. 2026 г.
Ничего
$336,357 Объем
$336,357 Объем
31 мар. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Iranian Regime Falls
- Fed Rate Cut
- Trump declares election interference national emergency
- Insurrection Act invoked
- SAVE Act signed into law
- James Talarico and John Cornyn candidates for the Texas Senate Election
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
This market may remain open until the results of both Texas parties' primaries are known definitively.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH-March.pdfTrader consensus prices "Nothing" at 58.5% for the March market after none of the specified triggers materialized by March 31, including no Federal Reserve rate cut—held steady at 3.5%-3.75% in its March meeting—no Trump declaration of a national emergency on election interference, no invocation of the Insurrection Act, stalled SAVE Act without signature, no Iranian regime collapse despite Mojtaba Khamenei's March 8 leadership transition following his father's late February death, and a Texas Senate primary outcome where James Talarico secured the Democratic nomination but John Cornyn advanced to a GOP runoff rather than direct general election candidacy. With primaries now certified, the market awaits UMA oracle resolution amid lingering interpretive questions on regime stability and candidacy definitions, reflecting cautious trader sentiment on final verification.
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Iranian Regime Falls
- Fed Rate Cut
- Trump declares election interference national emergency
- Insurrection Act invoked
- SAVE Act signed into law
- James Talarico and John Cornyn candidates for the Texas Senate Election
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
This market may remain open until the results of both Texas parties' primaries are known definitively.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH-March.pdf
- Iranian Regime Falls
- Fed Rate Cut
- Trump declares election interference national emergency
- Insurrection Act invoked
- SAVE Act signed into law
- James Talarico and John Cornyn candidates for the Texas Senate Election
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
This market may remain open until the results of both Texas parties' primaries are known definitively.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH-March.pdf
Открытие рынка: Mar 3, 2026, 12:15 PM ET
Объем
$336,357Дата окончания
31 мар. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 3, 2026, 12:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Iranian Regime Falls
- Fed Rate Cut
- Trump declares election interference national emergency
- Insurrection Act invoked
- SAVE Act signed into law
- James Talarico and John Cornyn candidates for the Texas Senate Election
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
This market may remain open until the results of both Texas parties' primaries are known definitively.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH-March.pdfTrader consensus prices "Nothing" at 58.5% for the March market after none of the specified triggers materialized by March 31, including no Federal Reserve rate cut—held steady at 3.5%-3.75% in its March meeting—no Trump declaration of a national emergency on election interference, no invocation of the Insurrection Act, stalled SAVE Act without signature, no Iranian regime collapse despite Mojtaba Khamenei's March 8 leadership transition following his father's late February death, and a Texas Senate primary outcome where James Talarico secured the Democratic nomination but John Cornyn advanced to a GOP runoff rather than direct general election candidacy. With primaries now certified, the market awaits UMA oracle resolution amid lingering interpretive questions on regime stability and candidacy definitions, reflecting cautious trader sentiment on final verification.
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Iranian Regime Falls
- Fed Rate Cut
- Trump declares election interference national emergency
- Insurrection Act invoked
- SAVE Act signed into law
- James Talarico and John Cornyn candidates for the Texas Senate Election
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
This market may remain open until the results of both Texas parties' primaries are known definitively.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH-March.pdf
- Iranian Regime Falls
- Fed Rate Cut
- Trump declares election interference national emergency
- Insurrection Act invoked
- SAVE Act signed into law
- James Talarico and John Cornyn candidates for the Texas Senate Election
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
This market may remain open until the results of both Texas parties' primaries are known definitively.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH-March.pdf
Объем
$336,357Дата окончания
31 мар. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 3, 2026, 12:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "Nothing" at 58.5% for the March market after none of the specified triggers materialized by March 31, including no Federal Reserve rate cut—held steady at 3.5%-3.75% in its March meeting—no Trump declaration of a national emergency on election interference, no invocation of the Insurrection Act, stalled SAVE Act without signature, no Iranian regime collapse despite Mojtaba Khamenei's March 8 leadership transition following his father's late February death, and a Texas Senate primary outcome where James Talarico secured the Democratic nomination but John Cornyn advanced to a GOP runoff rather than direct general election candidacy. With primaries now certified, the market awaits UMA oracle resolution amid lingering interpretive questions on regime stability and candidacy definitions, reflecting cautious trader sentiment on final verification.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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