Trader consensus on Polymarket prices "Nothing" at 58.5%, reflecting the absence of any triggering events by March 31 despite elevated risks. The Federal Reserve held federal funds rates at 3.5%-3.75% during its March 18 FOMC meeting amid sticky inflation, averting a rate cut. Iran's regime endured U.S.-Israel airstrikes and Hezbollah clashes without collapse, per DNI assessments. President Trump issued no election interference national emergency, and the Insurrection Act went uninvoked amid March 28 No Kings protests. The SAVE Act stalled in Senate debate, lacking 60 votes to overcome filibuster. Texas Senate primaries saw Democrat James Talarico nominated but Republican John Cornyn relegated to a May runoff versus Ken Paxton, dodging the dual-candidacy trigger. UMA oracle review introduces slight residual uncertainty.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоНичего
$336,344 Объем
$336,344 Объем
31 мар. 2026 г.
Ничего
$336,344 Объем
$336,344 Объем
31 мар. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Iranian Regime Falls
- Fed Rate Cut
- Trump declares election interference national emergency
- Insurrection Act invoked
- SAVE Act signed into law
- James Talarico and John Cornyn candidates for the Texas Senate Election
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
This market may remain open until the results of both Texas parties' primaries are known definitively.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH-March.pdfTrader consensus on Polymarket prices "Nothing" at 58.5%, reflecting the absence of any triggering events by March 31 despite elevated risks. The Federal Reserve held federal funds rates at 3.5%-3.75% during its March 18 FOMC meeting amid sticky inflation, averting a rate cut. Iran's regime endured U.S.-Israel airstrikes and Hezbollah clashes without collapse, per DNI assessments. President Trump issued no election interference national emergency, and the Insurrection Act went uninvoked amid March 28 No Kings protests. The SAVE Act stalled in Senate debate, lacking 60 votes to overcome filibuster. Texas Senate primaries saw Democrat James Talarico nominated but Republican John Cornyn relegated to a May runoff versus Ken Paxton, dodging the dual-candidacy trigger. UMA oracle review introduces slight residual uncertainty.
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Iranian Regime Falls
- Fed Rate Cut
- Trump declares election interference national emergency
- Insurrection Act invoked
- SAVE Act signed into law
- James Talarico and John Cornyn candidates for the Texas Senate Election
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
This market may remain open until the results of both Texas parties' primaries are known definitively.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH-March.pdf
- Iranian Regime Falls
- Fed Rate Cut
- Trump declares election interference national emergency
- Insurrection Act invoked
- SAVE Act signed into law
- James Talarico and John Cornyn candidates for the Texas Senate Election
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
This market may remain open until the results of both Texas parties' primaries are known definitively.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH-March.pdf
Открытие рынка: Mar 3, 2026, 12:15 PM ET
Объем
$336,344Дата окончания
31 мар. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 3, 2026, 12:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Iranian Regime Falls
- Fed Rate Cut
- Trump declares election interference national emergency
- Insurrection Act invoked
- SAVE Act signed into law
- James Talarico and John Cornyn candidates for the Texas Senate Election
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
This market may remain open until the results of both Texas parties' primaries are known definitively.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH-March.pdfTrader consensus on Polymarket prices "Nothing" at 58.5%, reflecting the absence of any triggering events by March 31 despite elevated risks. The Federal Reserve held federal funds rates at 3.5%-3.75% during its March 18 FOMC meeting amid sticky inflation, averting a rate cut. Iran's regime endured U.S.-Israel airstrikes and Hezbollah clashes without collapse, per DNI assessments. President Trump issued no election interference national emergency, and the Insurrection Act went uninvoked amid March 28 No Kings protests. The SAVE Act stalled in Senate debate, lacking 60 votes to overcome filibuster. Texas Senate primaries saw Democrat James Talarico nominated but Republican John Cornyn relegated to a May runoff versus Ken Paxton, dodging the dual-candidacy trigger. UMA oracle review introduces slight residual uncertainty.
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Iranian Regime Falls
- Fed Rate Cut
- Trump declares election interference national emergency
- Insurrection Act invoked
- SAVE Act signed into law
- James Talarico and John Cornyn candidates for the Texas Senate Election
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
This market may remain open until the results of both Texas parties' primaries are known definitively.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH-March.pdf
- Iranian Regime Falls
- Fed Rate Cut
- Trump declares election interference national emergency
- Insurrection Act invoked
- SAVE Act signed into law
- James Talarico and John Cornyn candidates for the Texas Senate Election
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
This market may remain open until the results of both Texas parties' primaries are known definitively.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH-March.pdf
Объем
$336,344Дата окончания
31 мар. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 3, 2026, 12:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices "Nothing" at 58.5%, reflecting the absence of any triggering events by March 31 despite elevated risks. The Federal Reserve held federal funds rates at 3.5%-3.75% during its March 18 FOMC meeting amid sticky inflation, averting a rate cut. Iran's regime endured U.S.-Israel airstrikes and Hezbollah clashes without collapse, per DNI assessments. President Trump issued no election interference national emergency, and the Insurrection Act went uninvoked amid March 28 No Kings protests. The SAVE Act stalled in Senate debate, lacking 60 votes to overcome filibuster. Texas Senate primaries saw Democrat James Talarico nominated but Republican John Cornyn relegated to a May runoff versus Ken Paxton, dodging the dual-candidacy trigger. UMA oracle review introduces slight residual uncertainty.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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