Polymarket traders assign a 99.3% implied probability to fewer than 3.0 million TSA checkpoint passengers on April 4, reflecting sustained sub-3 million daily volumes amid post-spring break normalization and residual partial government shutdown disruptions. Recent data shows April 2 at 2.71 million, April 1 at 2.36 million, March 31 at 2.15 million, and a weekend peak of 2.76 million on March 29—trends down 12% year-over-year despite seasonal demand. Staffing shortages have deterred some travel, though backpay has eased lines. This skin-in-the-game consensus could face challenges from an Easter weekend surge (April 5 holiday), favorable weather, or fully resolved shutdown boosting volumes toward prior peaks. Official TSA data releases post-midnight April 5.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоКоличество пассажиров TSA 4 апреля?
Количество пассажиров TSA 4 апреля?
<3,0 млн 99.3%
3,0М–3,2М 1.5%
3,4–3,6 млн <1%
3,2M-3,4M <1%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
4 апр. 2026 г.
<3,0 млн
99%
3,0М–3,2М
2%
3,2M-3,4M
1%
3,4–3,6 млн
1%
3,6–3,8 млн
<1%
>3,8 млн
<1%
<3,0 млн 99.3%
3,0М–3,2М 1.5%
3,4–3,6 млн <1%
3,2M-3,4M <1%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
4 апр. 2026 г.
<3,0 млн
$701 Объем
99%
3,0М–3,2М
$150 Объем
2%
3,2M-3,4M
$1,425 Объем
1%
3,4–3,6 млн
$1,795 Объем
1%
3,6–3,8 млн
$1,786 Объем
<1%
>3,8 млн
$1,762 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on April 4, 2026.
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.Polymarket traders assign a 99.3% implied probability to fewer than 3.0 million TSA checkpoint passengers on April 4, reflecting sustained sub-3 million daily volumes amid post-spring break normalization and residual partial government shutdown disruptions. Recent data shows April 2 at 2.71 million, April 1 at 2.36 million, March 31 at 2.15 million, and a weekend peak of 2.76 million on March 29—trends down 12% year-over-year despite seasonal demand. Staffing shortages have deterred some travel, though backpay has eased lines. This skin-in-the-game consensus could face challenges from an Easter weekend surge (April 5 holiday), favorable weather, or fully resolved shutdown boosting volumes toward prior peaks. Official TSA data releases post-midnight April 5.
This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on April 4, 2026.
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
Открытие рынка: Apr 2, 2026, 4:47 PM ET
Объем
$7,619Дата окончания
4 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 2, 2026, 4:47 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumesResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on April 4, 2026.
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.Polymarket traders assign a 99.3% implied probability to fewer than 3.0 million TSA checkpoint passengers on April 4, reflecting sustained sub-3 million daily volumes amid post-spring break normalization and residual partial government shutdown disruptions. Recent data shows April 2 at 2.71 million, April 1 at 2.36 million, March 31 at 2.15 million, and a weekend peak of 2.76 million on March 29—trends down 12% year-over-year despite seasonal demand. Staffing shortages have deterred some travel, though backpay has eased lines. This skin-in-the-game consensus could face challenges from an Easter weekend surge (April 5 holiday), favorable weather, or fully resolved shutdown boosting volumes toward prior peaks. Official TSA data releases post-midnight April 5.
This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on April 4, 2026.
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
Объем
$7,619Дата окончания
4 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 2, 2026, 4:47 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumesResolver
0x69c47De9D...Polymarket traders assign a 99.3% implied probability to fewer than 3.0 million TSA checkpoint passengers on April 4, reflecting sustained sub-3 million daily volumes amid post-spring break normalization and residual partial government shutdown disruptions. Recent data shows April 2 at 2.71 million, April 1 at 2.36 million, March 31 at 2.15 million, and a weekend peak of 2.76 million on March 29—trends down 12% year-over-year despite seasonal demand. Staffing shortages have deterred some travel, though backpay has eased lines. This skin-in-the-game consensus could face challenges from an Easter weekend surge (April 5 holiday), favorable weather, or fully resolved shutdown boosting volumes toward prior peaks. Official TSA data releases post-midnight April 5.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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