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Экономика·Иран

Will gas hit __ by end of April?

Market icon
Экономика·Иран

Will gas hit __ by end of April?

мар. 31

апр. 30

мар. 31

апр. 30

НОВОЕ
30 апр. 2026 г.
Polymarket

$1,805 Объем

Polymarket

↑ $5.00

$119 Объем

10%

↑ $4.75

$130 Объем

16%

↑ $4.50

$209 Объем

46%

↑ $4.25

$93 Объем

76%

↑ $4.15

$40 Объем

87%

↑ $4.05

$165 Объем

90%

↓ $3.95

$320 Объем

80%

↓ $3.85

$338 Объем

37%

↓ $3.75

$39 Объем

28%

↓ $3.50

$0 Объем

41%

↓ $3.25

$0 Объем

40%

↓ $3.00

$351 Объем

9%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price). The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price). The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".U.S. national average gasoline prices recently surpassed $4 per gallon for the first time since 2022, driven primarily by surging crude oil costs above $110 per barrel amid escalating U.S.-Israel military actions against Iran that began in late February 2026. This conflict disrupted Middle East oil shipments, causing a $1-plus jump in pump prices throughout March, compounded by seasonal refinery maintenance wrap-ups and rising spring break demand. Traders monitor ongoing geopolitical tensions, potential Strategic Petroleum Reserve releases, and weekly EIA reports for de-escalation signals or further supply shocks that could push prices higher or stabilize them before April 30 resolution. Historical precedents show rapid reversals possible with diplomatic breakthroughs, though summer driving season looms as an upside risk.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).

The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Объем
$1,805
Дата окончания
30 апр. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Mar 31, 2026, 11:04 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price). The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price). The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price). The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".U.S. national average gasoline prices recently surpassed $4 per gallon for the first time since 2022, driven primarily by surging crude oil costs above $110 per barrel amid escalating U.S.-Israel military actions against Iran that began in late February 2026. This conflict disrupted Middle East oil shipments, causing a $1-plus jump in pump prices throughout March, compounded by seasonal refinery maintenance wrap-ups and rising spring break demand. Traders monitor ongoing geopolitical tensions, potential Strategic Petroleum Reserve releases, and weekly EIA reports for de-escalation signals or further supply shocks that could push prices higher or stabilize them before April 30 resolution. Historical precedents show rapid reversals possible with diplomatic breakthroughs, though summer driving season looms as an upside risk.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).

The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Объем
$1,805
Дата окончания
30 апр. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Mar 31, 2026, 11:04 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price). The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Will gas hit __ by end of April?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 12 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «↑ $4.05» с 90%, за ним следует «↑ $4.15» с 87%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 90¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 90%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Will gas hit __ by end of April?» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Mar 31, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Will gas hit __ by end of April?», просмотри 12 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Will gas hit __ by end of April?» — «↑ $4.05» с 90%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 90%. Следующий ближайший исход — «↑ $4.15» с 87%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Will gas hit __ by end of April?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.