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Политика·Трамп

Tucker Carlson announces a run for office by June 30?

Market icon
Политика·Трамп

Tucker Carlson announces a run for office by June 30?

20% вероятность
Polymarket
НОВОЕ
20% вероятность
Polymarket
НОВОЕ
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tucker Carlson announces that he will run for any public office in the United States by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any public office refers to any elected government office in the United States, including at the federal, local, or state level. The primary resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Tucker Carlson; however, a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Tucker Carlson's explicit denial of presidential ambitions in a March 19 interview with The Economist—stating he "couldn't get elected to an empty congressional seat in an uncontested election"—has anchored trader consensus at 79% for "No" on an announcement by June 30. Absent any formal campaign filings, exploratory committee, or public signals of intent since then, his recent Tucker Carlson Network content focuses on interviewing gubernatorial candidates like Zach Lahn in Iowa and critiquing President Trump's Iran policy rather than personal candidacy. While speculation persists for a potential 2028 bid amid his anti-war positioning, the lack of momentum for nearer-term races keeps implied probabilities low, with skin-in-the-game traders prioritizing his direct disavowals over rumors.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tucker Carlson announces that he will run for any public office in the United States by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any public office refers to any elected government office in the United States, including at the federal, local, or state level.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Tucker Carlson; however, a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Объем
$2
Дата окончания
30 июн. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 8, 2026, 6:05 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tucker Carlson announces that he will run for any public office in the United States by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any public office refers to any elected government office in the United States, including at the federal, local, or state level. The primary resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Tucker Carlson; however, a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tucker Carlson announces that he will run for any public office in the United States by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any public office refers to any elected government office in the United States, including at the federal, local, or state level. The primary resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Tucker Carlson; however, a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Tucker Carlson's explicit denial of presidential ambitions in a March 19 interview with The Economist—stating he "couldn't get elected to an empty congressional seat in an uncontested election"—has anchored trader consensus at 79% for "No" on an announcement by June 30. Absent any formal campaign filings, exploratory committee, or public signals of intent since then, his recent Tucker Carlson Network content focuses on interviewing gubernatorial candidates like Zach Lahn in Iowa and critiquing President Trump's Iran policy rather than personal candidacy. While speculation persists for a potential 2028 bid amid his anti-war positioning, the lack of momentum for nearer-term races keeps implied probabilities low, with skin-in-the-game traders prioritizing his direct disavowals over rumors.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tucker Carlson announces that he will run for any public office in the United States by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any public office refers to any elected government office in the United States, including at the federal, local, or state level.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Tucker Carlson; however, a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Объем
$2
Дата окончания
30 июн. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 8, 2026, 6:05 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tucker Carlson announces that he will run for any public office in the United States by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any public office refers to any elected government office in the United States, including at the federal, local, or state level. The primary resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Tucker Carlson; however, a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Tucker Carlson announces a run for office by June 30?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции «Да» или «Нет» в зависимости от того, верят ли они, что это событие произойдёт. Текущая вероятность по мнению сообщества составляет 20% для «Yes». Например, если «Да» торгуется по 20¢, рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность наступления события в 20%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются по мере реакции трейдеров на новые события и информацию. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Tucker Carlson announces a run for office by June 30?» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Apr 8, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Tucker Carlson announces a run for office by June 30?», просто выбери, считаешь ли ты, что ответ — «Да» или «Нет». Каждая сторона имеет текущую цену, отражающую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если ты купишь акции «Да» и исход разрешится как «Да», каждая акция принесёт $1. Если исход — «Нет», твои акции «Да» принесут $0. Ты также можешь продать свои акции в любой момент до разрешения, чтобы зафиксировать прибыль или ограничить убыток.

Текущая вероятность для «Tucker Carlson announces a run for office by June 30?» составляет 20% для «Yes». Это означает, что сообщество Polymarket в настоящее время оценивает вероятность наступления этого события в 20%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени на основе реальных сделок, предоставляя постоянно обновляемый сигнал ожиданий рынка.

Правила разрешения «Tucker Carlson announces a run for office by June 30?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.