Péter Magyar's Tisza party secured a supermajority in Hungary's April 12, 2026, parliamentary election, ousting Viktor Orbán's Fidesz after 16 years in power, with Orbán conceding defeat that night and relinquishing his parliamentary seat on April 25. Magyar was sworn in as prime minister today, May 9, formalizing the transition and confirming Orbán's exit from the premiership well before the December 31 deadline. Trader consensus at 100% Yes reflects this irreversible shift, driven by voter backlash against Fidesz amid economic woes and EU tensions. While Tisza's two-thirds National Assembly majority ensures stability, remote scenarios like successful constitutional challenges or snap no-confidence votes could theoretically alter the outcome.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоВиктор Орбан выйдет до 31 декабря 2026 года?
Виктор Орбан выйдет до 31 декабря 2026 года?
Да
$239,927 Объем
$239,927 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
Да
$239,927 Объем
$239,927 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Viktor Orbán ceases to be Prime Minister of Hungary for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Viktor Orbán's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Viktor Orbán and the government of Hungary; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Péter Magyar's Tisza party secured a supermajority in Hungary's April 12, 2026, parliamentary election, ousting Viktor Orbán's Fidesz after 16 years in power, with Orbán conceding defeat that night and relinquishing his parliamentary seat on April 25. Magyar was sworn in as prime minister today, May 9, formalizing the transition and confirming Orbán's exit from the premiership well before the December 31 deadline. Trader consensus at 100% Yes reflects this irreversible shift, driven by voter backlash against Fidesz amid economic woes and EU tensions. While Tisza's two-thirds National Assembly majority ensures stability, remote scenarios like successful constitutional challenges or snap no-confidence votes could theoretically alter the outcome.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Viktor Orbán ceases to be Prime Minister of Hungary for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Viktor Orbán's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Viktor Orbán and the government of Hungary; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Viktor Orbán's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Viktor Orbán and the government of Hungary; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Jan 5, 2026, 5:56 PM ET
Объем
$239,927Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 5, 2026, 5:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Предложенный исход: Да
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Да
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Viktor Orbán ceases to be Prime Minister of Hungary for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Viktor Orbán's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Viktor Orbán and the government of Hungary; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Péter Magyar's Tisza party secured a supermajority in Hungary's April 12, 2026, parliamentary election, ousting Viktor Orbán's Fidesz after 16 years in power, with Orbán conceding defeat that night and relinquishing his parliamentary seat on April 25. Magyar was sworn in as prime minister today, May 9, formalizing the transition and confirming Orbán's exit from the premiership well before the December 31 deadline. Trader consensus at 100% Yes reflects this irreversible shift, driven by voter backlash against Fidesz amid economic woes and EU tensions. While Tisza's two-thirds National Assembly majority ensures stability, remote scenarios like successful constitutional challenges or snap no-confidence votes could theoretically alter the outcome.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Viktor Orbán ceases to be Prime Minister of Hungary for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Viktor Orbán's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Viktor Orbán and the government of Hungary; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Viktor Orbán's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Viktor Orbán and the government of Hungary; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$239,927Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 5, 2026, 5:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Предложенный исход: Да
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Да
Péter Magyar's Tisza party secured a supermajority in Hungary's April 12, 2026, parliamentary election, ousting Viktor Orbán's Fidesz after 16 years in power, with Orbán conceding defeat that night and relinquishing his parliamentary seat on April 25. Magyar was sworn in as prime minister today, May 9, formalizing the transition and confirming Orbán's exit from the premiership well before the December 31 deadline. Trader consensus at 100% Yes reflects this irreversible shift, driven by voter backlash against Fidesz amid economic woes and EU tensions. While Tisza's two-thirds National Assembly majority ensures stability, remote scenarios like successful constitutional challenges or snap no-confidence votes could theoretically alter the outcome.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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