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Выборы·Промежуточные выборы

Победитель выборов в Сенат штата Вайоминг

icon for Победитель выборов в Сенат штата Вайоминг
Выборы·Промежуточные выборы

Победитель выборов в Сенат штата Вайоминг

$10,540 Объем

Polymarket

$10,540 Объем

icon for Республиканец

Республиканец

$6,971 Объем

95%

icon for Демократ

Демократ

$3,569 Объем

5%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Wyoming U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Wyoming's U.S. Senate contest remains a strongly Republican position heading into the 2026 general election, with traders assigning a 94.5% implied probability to a GOP victory. Incumbent Cynthia Lummis opted not to seek a second term, creating an open race, yet the state's consistent Republican dominance since 1977 and all-candidate primary dynamics favor the eventual Republican nominee. Harriet Hageman, the state's at-large House member, leads the August 18 Republican primary with endorsements from Lummis and President Trump, while Democratic contenders face structural disadvantages in a state without a Senate win for their party since 1970. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican. A major scandal, health issue, or unforeseen national shift could theoretically alter the outcome, though such developments would need to overcome Wyoming's entrenched partisan patterns and low Democratic baseline support.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Wyoming U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Объем
$10,540
Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Wyoming U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Wyoming U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Wyoming's U.S. Senate contest remains a strongly Republican position heading into the 2026 general election, with traders assigning a 94.5% implied probability to a GOP victory. Incumbent Cynthia Lummis opted not to seek a second term, creating an open race, yet the state's consistent Republican dominance since 1977 and all-candidate primary dynamics favor the eventual Republican nominee. Harriet Hageman, the state's at-large House member, leads the August 18 Republican primary with endorsements from Lummis and President Trump, while Democratic contenders face structural disadvantages in a state without a Senate win for their party since 1970. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican. A major scandal, health issue, or unforeseen national shift could theoretically alter the outcome, though such developments would need to overcome Wyoming's entrenched partisan patterns and low Democratic baseline support.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Wyoming U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Объем
$10,540
Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Wyoming U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Победитель выборов в Сенат штата Вайоминг» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 2 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Республиканец» с 95%, за ним следует «Демократ» с 5%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 95¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 95%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Победитель выборов в Сенат штата Вайоминг» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $10.5K с момента запуска рынка Oct 13, 2025. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Победитель выборов в Сенат штата Вайоминг», просмотри 2 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Победитель выборов в Сенат штата Вайоминг» — «Республиканец» с 95%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 95%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Демократ» с 5%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Победитель выборов в Сенат штата Вайоминг» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.