Incumbent Democrat Katie Hobbs holds a substantial lead in the 2026 Arizona governor race, reflected in trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 87.5% implied probability versus 13% for the Republican. Recent polling averages show Hobbs ahead of Republican nominee Andy Biggs by roughly five to seven points among likely voters, with one mid-August survey placing her at 48% to Biggs' 35%. Hobbs secured the Democratic nomination unopposed, while Biggs prevailed in the July 21 Republican primary. Key factors include Hobbs' incumbency advantage, early general-election advertising emphasizing cost-of-living and bipartisan themes, and her August selection of former Republican Mesa Mayor John Giles as running mate under the new lieutenant governor format. Biggs has struggled with party consolidation in surveys, though the race remains within reach for Republicans in Arizona's competitive electorate with two months until November 3.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วArizona Governor Election Winner
Arizona Governor Election Winner
$66,787 ปริมาณ
$66,787 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Democrat
88%
Republican
13%
$66,787 ปริมาณ
$66,787 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Democrat
$30,808 ปริมาณ
88%
Republican
$35,979 ปริมาณ
13%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democrat Katie Hobbs holds a substantial lead in the 2026 Arizona governor race, reflected in trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 87.5% implied probability versus 13% for the Republican. Recent polling averages show Hobbs ahead of Republican nominee Andy Biggs by roughly five to seven points among likely voters, with one mid-August survey placing her at 48% to Biggs' 35%. Hobbs secured the Democratic nomination unopposed, while Biggs prevailed in the July 21 Republican primary. Key factors include Hobbs' incumbency advantage, early general-election advertising emphasizing cost-of-living and bipartisan themes, and her August selection of former Republican Mesa Mayor John Giles as running mate under the new lieutenant governor format. Biggs has struggled with party consolidation in surveys, though the race remains within reach for Republicans in Arizona's competitive electorate with two months until November 3.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$66,787วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democrat Katie Hobbs holds a substantial lead in the 2026 Arizona governor race, reflected in trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 87.5% implied probability versus 13% for the Republican. Recent polling averages show Hobbs ahead of Republican nominee Andy Biggs by roughly five to seven points among likely voters, with one mid-August survey placing her at 48% to Biggs' 35%. Hobbs secured the Democratic nomination unopposed, while Biggs prevailed in the July 21 Republican primary. Key factors include Hobbs' incumbency advantage, early general-election advertising emphasizing cost-of-living and bipartisan themes, and her August selection of former Republican Mesa Mayor John Giles as running mate under the new lieutenant governor format. Biggs has struggled with party consolidation in surveys, though the race remains within reach for Republicans in Arizona's competitive electorate with two months until November 3.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$66,787วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Katie Hobbs holds a substantial lead in the 2026 Arizona governor race, reflected in trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 87.5% implied probability versus 13% for the Republican. Recent polling averages show Hobbs ahead of Republican nominee Andy Biggs by roughly five to seven points among likely voters, with one mid-August survey placing her at 48% to Biggs' 35%. Hobbs secured the Democratic nomination unopposed, while Biggs prevailed in the July 21 Republican primary. Key factors include Hobbs' incumbency advantage, early general-election advertising emphasizing cost-of-living and bipartisan themes, and her August selection of former Republican Mesa Mayor John Giles as running mate under the new lieutenant governor format. Biggs has struggled with party consolidation in surveys, though the race remains within reach for Republicans in Arizona's competitive electorate with two months until November 3.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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