Official observations from the National Weather Service at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport confirm the highest temperature on May 7 reached 68-69°F, driving 100% market-implied probability for this outcome as traders locked in positions based on verified hourly data. A strong cold front moving through Central Texas introduced cooler northerly airflow, extensive cloud cover, and scattered showers, severely limiting solar heating and capping highs well below the May climatological average of 85°F—conditions echoed in pre-event NOAA forecast model consensus showing upper-60s peaks. This unusually cool late-spring pattern aligns with historical analogs of frontal passages disrupting typical southerly winds and subsidence. While data quality control rarely alters preliminary readings, a revised NWS climatological summary could theoretically shift minor details, though no such discrepancies are anticipated.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Austin on May 7?
Highest temperature in Austin on May 7?
68-69°F 100.0%
65°F or below <1%
66-67°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
$88,711 ปริมาณ
$88,711 ปริมาณ
May 7, 2026
65°F or below
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
Yes
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84°F or higher
No
68-69°F 100.0%
65°F or below <1%
66-67°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
$88,711 ปริมาณ
$88,711 ปริมาณ
May 7, 2026
65°F or below
$16,797 ปริมาณ
No
66-67°F
$12,585 ปริมาณ
No
68-69°F
$6,430 ปริมาณ
Yes
70-71°F
$6,913 ปริมาณ
No
72-73°F
$4,678 ปริมาณ
No
74-75°F
$6,062 ปริมาณ
No
76-77°F
$9,797 ปริมาณ
No
78-79°F
$7,601 ปริมาณ
No
80-81°F
$7,831 ปริมาณ
No
82-83°F
$5,034 ปริมาณ
No
84°F or higher
$4,983 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the National Weather Service at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport confirm the highest temperature on May 7 reached 68-69°F, driving 100% market-implied probability for this outcome as traders locked in positions based on verified hourly data. A strong cold front moving through Central Texas introduced cooler northerly airflow, extensive cloud cover, and scattered showers, severely limiting solar heating and capping highs well below the May climatological average of 85°F—conditions echoed in pre-event NOAA forecast model consensus showing upper-60s peaks. This unusually cool late-spring pattern aligns with historical analogs of frontal passages disrupting typical southerly winds and subsidence. While data quality control rarely alters preliminary readings, a revised NWS climatological summary could theoretically shift minor details, though no such discrepancies are anticipated.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 5, 2026, 12:17 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$88,711วันสิ้นสุด
May 7, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 5, 2026, 12:17 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the National Weather Service at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport confirm the highest temperature on May 7 reached 68-69°F, driving 100% market-implied probability for this outcome as traders locked in positions based on verified hourly data. A strong cold front moving through Central Texas introduced cooler northerly airflow, extensive cloud cover, and scattered showers, severely limiting solar heating and capping highs well below the May climatological average of 85°F—conditions echoed in pre-event NOAA forecast model consensus showing upper-60s peaks. This unusually cool late-spring pattern aligns with historical analogs of frontal passages disrupting typical southerly winds and subsidence. While data quality control rarely alters preliminary readings, a revised NWS climatological summary could theoretically shift minor details, though no such discrepancies are anticipated.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$88,711วันสิ้นสุด
May 7, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 5, 2026, 12:17 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Official observations from the National Weather Service at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport confirm the highest temperature on May 7 reached 68-69°F, driving 100% market-implied probability for this outcome as traders locked in positions based on verified hourly data. A strong cold front moving through Central Texas introduced cooler northerly airflow, extensive cloud cover, and scattered showers, severely limiting solar heating and capping highs well below the May climatological average of 85°F—conditions echoed in pre-event NOAA forecast model consensus showing upper-60s peaks. This unusually cool late-spring pattern aligns with historical analogs of frontal passages disrupting typical southerly winds and subsidence. While data quality control rarely alters preliminary readings, a revised NWS climatological summary could theoretically shift minor details, though no such discrepancies are anticipated.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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