Forecast models from the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate high uncertainty for Busan’s July 18 maximum temperature, with ensemble spreads clustering around 29–31°C amid typical mid-July East Asian monsoon conditions. Elevated atmospheric moisture and potential cloud cover or thundershowers can suppress daytime heating through reduced solar insolation, while coastal sea breezes may moderate peaks near the historical July average of 29–30°C. Recent short-range guidance highlights variability in humidity and localized precipitation timing as key differentiators among adjacent thresholds, keeping market-implied probabilities closely matched as traders weigh model consensus against coastal microclimate effects.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Busan on July 18?
Highest temperature in Busan on July 18?
30°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$50,194 ปริมาณ
$50,194 ปริมาณ
Jul 18, 2026
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
30°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$50,194 ปริมาณ
$50,194 ปริมาณ
Jul 18, 2026
25°C or below
$2,800 ปริมาณ
No
26°C
$1,398 ปริมาณ
No
27°C
$1,787 ปริมาณ
No
28°C
$3,967 ปริมาณ
No
29°C
$16,537 ปริมาณ
No
30°C
$6,842 ปริมาณ
Yes
31°C
$5,479 ปริมาณ
No
32°C
$4,959 ปริมาณ
No
33°C
$4,268 ปริมาณ
No
34°C
$1,174 ปริมาณ
No
35°C or higher
$984 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate high uncertainty for Busan’s July 18 maximum temperature, with ensemble spreads clustering around 29–31°C amid typical mid-July East Asian monsoon conditions. Elevated atmospheric moisture and potential cloud cover or thundershowers can suppress daytime heating through reduced solar insolation, while coastal sea breezes may moderate peaks near the historical July average of 29–30°C. Recent short-range guidance highlights variability in humidity and localized precipitation timing as key differentiators among adjacent thresholds, keeping market-implied probabilities closely matched as traders weigh model consensus against coastal microclimate effects.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$50,194วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate high uncertainty for Busan’s July 18 maximum temperature, with ensemble spreads clustering around 29–31°C amid typical mid-July East Asian monsoon conditions. Elevated atmospheric moisture and potential cloud cover or thundershowers can suppress daytime heating through reduced solar insolation, while coastal sea breezes may moderate peaks near the historical July average of 29–30°C. Recent short-range guidance highlights variability in humidity and localized precipitation timing as key differentiators among adjacent thresholds, keeping market-implied probabilities closely matched as traders weigh model consensus against coastal microclimate effects.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$50,194วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Forecast models from the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate high uncertainty for Busan’s July 18 maximum temperature, with ensemble spreads clustering around 29–31°C amid typical mid-July East Asian monsoon conditions. Elevated atmospheric moisture and potential cloud cover or thundershowers can suppress daytime heating through reduced solar insolation, while coastal sea breezes may moderate peaks near the historical July average of 29–30°C. Recent short-range guidance highlights variability in humidity and localized precipitation timing as key differentiators among adjacent thresholds, keeping market-implied probabilities closely matched as traders weigh model consensus against coastal microclimate effects.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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