**Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 18°C as Cape Town's highest temperature on May 12, 2026, with 100% implied probability, driven by an intense cold front tracked by the South African Weather Service (SAWS).** Official SAWS forecasts specify a maximum of 18°C under cloudy skies, scattered showers, and gale-force northwesterly winds up to Orange Level 8 warning status, inhibiting solar heating and aligning with observed conditions of persistent overcast and precipitation through midday. This positioning reflects May's climatological autumn cooling—averaging 22°C highs but suppressed 3–4°C below normal by frontal dynamics—and recent model runs confirming minimal intensification potential. Scenarios challenging this include unlikely late-afternoon clearing for brief solar rebound to 19°C, pending final SAWS observations from Cape Town International Airport by evening. (112 words)
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Cape Town on May 12?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on May 12?
18°C 100%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$33,461 ปริมาณ
$33,461 ปริมาณ
May 12, 2026
12°C or below
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
Yes
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C or higher
No
18°C 100%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$33,461 ปริมาณ
$33,461 ปริมาณ
May 12, 2026
12°C or below
$1,435 ปริมาณ
No
13°C
$1,515 ปริมาณ
No
14°C
$2,014 ปริมาณ
No
15°C
$1,312 ปริมาณ
No
16°C
$8,191 ปริมาณ
No
17°C
$4,164 ปริมาณ
No
18°C
$4,936 ปริมาณ
Yes
19°C
$3,493 ปริมาณ
No
20°C
$2,771 ปริมาณ
No
21°C
$2,395 ปริมาณ
No
22°C or higher
$1,235 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 18°C as Cape Town's highest temperature on May 12, 2026, with 100% implied probability, driven by an intense cold front tracked by the South African Weather Service (SAWS).** Official SAWS forecasts specify a maximum of 18°C under cloudy skies, scattered showers, and gale-force northwesterly winds up to Orange Level 8 warning status, inhibiting solar heating and aligning with observed conditions of persistent overcast and precipitation through midday. This positioning reflects May's climatological autumn cooling—averaging 22°C highs but suppressed 3–4°C below normal by frontal dynamics—and recent model runs confirming minimal intensification potential. Scenarios challenging this include unlikely late-afternoon clearing for brief solar rebound to 19°C, pending final SAWS observations from Cape Town International Airport by evening. (112 words)
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 10, 2026, 12:39 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$33,461วันสิ้นสุด
May 12, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 10, 2026, 12:39 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 18°C as Cape Town's highest temperature on May 12, 2026, with 100% implied probability, driven by an intense cold front tracked by the South African Weather Service (SAWS).** Official SAWS forecasts specify a maximum of 18°C under cloudy skies, scattered showers, and gale-force northwesterly winds up to Orange Level 8 warning status, inhibiting solar heating and aligning with observed conditions of persistent overcast and precipitation through midday. This positioning reflects May's climatological autumn cooling—averaging 22°C highs but suppressed 3–4°C below normal by frontal dynamics—and recent model runs confirming minimal intensification potential. Scenarios challenging this include unlikely late-afternoon clearing for brief solar rebound to 19°C, pending final SAWS observations from Cape Town International Airport by evening. (112 words)
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$33,461วันสิ้นสุด
May 12, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 10, 2026, 12:39 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
**Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 18°C as Cape Town's highest temperature on May 12, 2026, with 100% implied probability, driven by an intense cold front tracked by the South African Weather Service (SAWS).** Official SAWS forecasts specify a maximum of 18°C under cloudy skies, scattered showers, and gale-force northwesterly winds up to Orange Level 8 warning status, inhibiting solar heating and aligning with observed conditions of persistent overcast and precipitation through midday. This positioning reflects May's climatological autumn cooling—averaging 22°C highs but suppressed 3–4°C below normal by frontal dynamics—and recent model runs confirming minimal intensification potential. Scenarios challenging this include unlikely late-afternoon clearing for brief solar rebound to 19°C, pending final SAWS observations from Cape Town International Airport by evening. (112 words)
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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