Recent model consensus from Météo-France and European ensembles shows a moderating high-pressure ridge over northern France, with southwesterly flow advecting milder maritime air toward Paris by July 18. This setup favors afternoon maxima near 27–29 °C at standard observing sites, tempered by possible increased cloud cover and a slight uptick in boundary-layer mixing. Urban heat-island effects could add 1–2 °C locally, yet forecast spread arises mainly from subtle differences in timing of any weak frontal passage and insolation duration. Traders therefore cluster probabilities around the 28 °C and 29 °C bins, reflecting the narrow range between official guidance and ensemble variability two days ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Paris on July 18?
Highest temperature in Paris on July 18?
28°C 37%
29°C 29%
27°C 20%
30°C 9%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jul 18, 2026
24°C or below
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
8%
27°C
20%
28°C
37%
29°C
29%
30°C
9%
31°C
2%
32°C
3%
33°C
1%
34°C or higher
<1%
28°C 37%
29°C 29%
27°C 20%
30°C 9%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jul 18, 2026
24°C or below
$25 ปริมาณ
1%
25°C
$15 ปริมาณ
2%
26°C
$10 ปริมาณ
8%
27°C
$114 ปริมาณ
20%
28°C
$91 ปริมาณ
37%
29°C
$124 ปริมาณ
29%
30°C
$35 ปริมาณ
9%
31°C
$70 ปริมาณ
2%
32°C
$130 ปริมาณ
3%
33°C
$25 ปริมาณ
1%
34°C or higher
$22 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from Météo-France and European ensembles shows a moderating high-pressure ridge over northern France, with southwesterly flow advecting milder maritime air toward Paris by July 18. This setup favors afternoon maxima near 27–29 °C at standard observing sites, tempered by possible increased cloud cover and a slight uptick in boundary-layer mixing. Urban heat-island effects could add 1–2 °C locally, yet forecast spread arises mainly from subtle differences in timing of any weak frontal passage and insolation duration. Traders therefore cluster probabilities around the 28 °C and 29 °C bins, reflecting the narrow range between official guidance and ensemble variability two days ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 16, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$660วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 16, 2026, 1:03 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from Météo-France and European ensembles shows a moderating high-pressure ridge over northern France, with southwesterly flow advecting milder maritime air toward Paris by July 18. This setup favors afternoon maxima near 27–29 °C at standard observing sites, tempered by possible increased cloud cover and a slight uptick in boundary-layer mixing. Urban heat-island effects could add 1–2 °C locally, yet forecast spread arises mainly from subtle differences in timing of any weak frontal passage and insolation duration. Traders therefore cluster probabilities around the 28 °C and 29 °C bins, reflecting the narrow range between official guidance and ensemble variability two days ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$660วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 16, 2026, 1:03 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from Météo-France and European ensembles shows a moderating high-pressure ridge over northern France, with southwesterly flow advecting milder maritime air toward Paris by July 18. This setup favors afternoon maxima near 27–29 °C at standard observing sites, tempered by possible increased cloud cover and a slight uptick in boundary-layer mixing. Urban heat-island effects could add 1–2 °C locally, yet forecast spread arises mainly from subtle differences in timing of any weak frontal passage and insolation duration. Traders therefore cluster probabilities around the 28 °C and 29 °C bins, reflecting the narrow range between official guidance and ensemble variability two days ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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