Hong Kong Observatory guidance for July 16 forecasts a daily range of 27–31 °C under typical subtropical monsoon flow, with medium-high rain chances and humidity of 75–95 %. This range anchors trader sentiment near 30–31 °C, as the official outlook implies limited afternoon heating once convective showers develop. Recent July mean maximum temperatures of 32.4 °C at the Observatory provide seasonal context for above-average warmth, yet persistent cloud cover and thunderstorm timing introduce enough variability to keep 29 °C and 32 °C viable. Key resolution factors include peak solar insolation before any rain, steering winds, and the precise timing of convective initiation—variables that short-range models continue to refine ahead of the observation window.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Hong Kong on July 16?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on July 16?
27°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
28°C <1%
$240,529 ปริมาณ
$240,529 ปริมาณ
Jul 16, 2026
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
27°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
28°C <1%
$240,529 ปริมาณ
$240,529 ปริมาณ
Jul 16, 2026
25°C or below
$8,973 ปริมาณ
No
26°C
$20,000 ปริมาณ
No
27°C
$68,251 ปริมาณ
Yes
28°C
$39,786 ปริมาณ
No
29°C
$29,854 ปริมาณ
No
30°C
$24,025 ปริมาณ
No
31°C
$19,870 ปริมาณ
No
32°C
$10,006 ปริมาณ
No
33°C
$8,952 ปริมาณ
No
34°C
$4,934 ปริมาณ
No
35°C or higher
$5,878 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory guidance for July 16 forecasts a daily range of 27–31 °C under typical subtropical monsoon flow, with medium-high rain chances and humidity of 75–95 %. This range anchors trader sentiment near 30–31 °C, as the official outlook implies limited afternoon heating once convective showers develop. Recent July mean maximum temperatures of 32.4 °C at the Observatory provide seasonal context for above-average warmth, yet persistent cloud cover and thunderstorm timing introduce enough variability to keep 29 °C and 32 °C viable. Key resolution factors include peak solar insolation before any rain, steering winds, and the precise timing of convective initiation—variables that short-range models continue to refine ahead of the observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 14, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$240,529วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 14, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory guidance for July 16 forecasts a daily range of 27–31 °C under typical subtropical monsoon flow, with medium-high rain chances and humidity of 75–95 %. This range anchors trader sentiment near 30–31 °C, as the official outlook implies limited afternoon heating once convective showers develop. Recent July mean maximum temperatures of 32.4 °C at the Observatory provide seasonal context for above-average warmth, yet persistent cloud cover and thunderstorm timing introduce enough variability to keep 29 °C and 32 °C viable. Key resolution factors include peak solar insolation before any rain, steering winds, and the precise timing of convective initiation—variables that short-range models continue to refine ahead of the observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$240,529วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 14, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Hong Kong Observatory guidance for July 16 forecasts a daily range of 27–31 °C under typical subtropical monsoon flow, with medium-high rain chances and humidity of 75–95 %. This range anchors trader sentiment near 30–31 °C, as the official outlook implies limited afternoon heating once convective showers develop. Recent July mean maximum temperatures of 32.4 °C at the Observatory provide seasonal context for above-average warmth, yet persistent cloud cover and thunderstorm timing introduce enough variability to keep 29 °C and 32 °C viable. Key resolution factors include peak solar insolation before any rain, steering winds, and the precise timing of convective initiation—variables that short-range models continue to refine ahead of the observation window.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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