Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-certain 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 29°C in Chongqing on May 11, driven by official hourly observations from the China Meteorological Administration's Chongqing station, which recorded a midday peak of 29°C under persistent cloud cover that capped solar heating. Current atmospheric conditions—high humidity around 80%, light southerly winds, and overcast skies—align with forecast model consensus from CMA and international agencies like the UK Met Office, preventing further intensification despite May's typical warming trend toward 25–30°C averages. Realistic challenges would require an improbable late-afternoon clearing of clouds before sunset, potentially adding 1–2°C via enhanced insolation, though declining solar angle and incoming moist air make this unlikely; final CMA daily summary expected within hours will confirm resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Chongqing on May 11?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on May 11?
29°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$65,272 ปริมาณ
$65,272 ปริมาณ
May 11, 2026
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
Yes
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
29°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$65,272 ปริมาณ
$65,272 ปริมาณ
May 11, 2026
24°C or below
$4,728 ปริมาณ
No
25°C
$4,552 ปริมาณ
No
26°C
$6,040 ปริมาณ
No
27°C
$4,970 ปริมาณ
No
28°C
$8,002 ปริมาณ
No
29°C
$12,195 ปริมาณ
Yes
30°C
$6,434 ปริมาณ
No
31°C
$5,992 ปริมาณ
No
32°C
$3,811 ปริมาณ
No
33°C
$6,115 ปริมาณ
No
34°C or higher
$2,433 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-certain 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 29°C in Chongqing on May 11, driven by official hourly observations from the China Meteorological Administration's Chongqing station, which recorded a midday peak of 29°C under persistent cloud cover that capped solar heating. Current atmospheric conditions—high humidity around 80%, light southerly winds, and overcast skies—align with forecast model consensus from CMA and international agencies like the UK Met Office, preventing further intensification despite May's typical warming trend toward 25–30°C averages. Realistic challenges would require an improbable late-afternoon clearing of clouds before sunset, potentially adding 1–2°C via enhanced insolation, though declining solar angle and incoming moist air make this unlikely; final CMA daily summary expected within hours will confirm resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 9, 2026, 4:52 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$65,272วันสิ้นสุด
May 11, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 9, 2026, 4:52 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-certain 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 29°C in Chongqing on May 11, driven by official hourly observations from the China Meteorological Administration's Chongqing station, which recorded a midday peak of 29°C under persistent cloud cover that capped solar heating. Current atmospheric conditions—high humidity around 80%, light southerly winds, and overcast skies—align with forecast model consensus from CMA and international agencies like the UK Met Office, preventing further intensification despite May's typical warming trend toward 25–30°C averages. Realistic challenges would require an improbable late-afternoon clearing of clouds before sunset, potentially adding 1–2°C via enhanced insolation, though declining solar angle and incoming moist air make this unlikely; final CMA daily summary expected within hours will confirm resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$65,272วันสิ้นสุด
May 11, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 9, 2026, 4:52 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-certain 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 29°C in Chongqing on May 11, driven by official hourly observations from the China Meteorological Administration's Chongqing station, which recorded a midday peak of 29°C under persistent cloud cover that capped solar heating. Current atmospheric conditions—high humidity around 80%, light southerly winds, and overcast skies—align with forecast model consensus from CMA and international agencies like the UK Met Office, preventing further intensification despite May's typical warming trend toward 25–30°C averages. Realistic challenges would require an improbable late-afternoon clearing of clouds before sunset, potentially adding 1–2°C via enhanced insolation, though declining solar angle and incoming moist air make this unlikely; final CMA daily summary expected within hours will confirm resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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