Heavy rainfall on June 15, 2026, with 122.6 mm recorded at the Hong Kong Observatory, suppressed daytime heating and limited the maximum temperature to 29°C at official stations. This aligns with the market's 100% consensus on that threshold, reflecting verified observations amid a period of above-normal seasonal temperatures and monsoon influences. Trader positioning draws from the direct causal link between precipitation, cloud cover, and reduced solar radiation. Scenarios that could have altered the outcome include clearer skies or delayed rainfall allowing brief peaks above 30°C, though post-event data releases confirm the recorded value with minimal uncertainty.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Hong Kong on June 15?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 15?
29°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$208,387 ปริมาณ
$208,387 ปริมาณ
Jun 15, 2026
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
Yes
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C or higher
No
29°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$208,387 ปริมาณ
$208,387 ปริมาณ
Jun 15, 2026
23°C or below
$934 ปริมาณ
No
24°C
$303 ปริมาณ
No
25°C
$5,106 ปริมาณ
No
26°C
$3,941 ปริมาณ
No
27°C
$29,964 ปริมาณ
No
28°C
$24,586 ปริมาณ
No
29°C
$63,802 ปริมาณ
Yes
30°C
$33,324 ปริมาณ
No
31°C
$27,582 ปริมาณ
No
32°C
$11,153 ปริมาณ
No
33°C or higher
$7,692 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Heavy rainfall on June 15, 2026, with 122.6 mm recorded at the Hong Kong Observatory, suppressed daytime heating and limited the maximum temperature to 29°C at official stations. This aligns with the market's 100% consensus on that threshold, reflecting verified observations amid a period of above-normal seasonal temperatures and monsoon influences. Trader positioning draws from the direct causal link between precipitation, cloud cover, and reduced solar radiation. Scenarios that could have altered the outcome include clearer skies or delayed rainfall allowing brief peaks above 30°C, though post-event data releases confirm the recorded value with minimal uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 13, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$208,387วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 13, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Heavy rainfall on June 15, 2026, with 122.6 mm recorded at the Hong Kong Observatory, suppressed daytime heating and limited the maximum temperature to 29°C at official stations. This aligns with the market's 100% consensus on that threshold, reflecting verified observations amid a period of above-normal seasonal temperatures and monsoon influences. Trader positioning draws from the direct causal link between precipitation, cloud cover, and reduced solar radiation. Scenarios that could have altered the outcome include clearer skies or delayed rainfall allowing brief peaks above 30°C, though post-event data releases confirm the recorded value with minimal uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$208,387วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 13, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Heavy rainfall on June 15, 2026, with 122.6 mm recorded at the Hong Kong Observatory, suppressed daytime heating and limited the maximum temperature to 29°C at official stations. This aligns with the market's 100% consensus on that threshold, reflecting verified observations amid a period of above-normal seasonal temperatures and monsoon influences. Trader positioning draws from the direct causal link between precipitation, cloud cover, and reduced solar radiation. Scenarios that could have altered the outcome include clearer skies or delayed rainfall allowing brief peaks above 30°C, though post-event data releases confirm the recorded value with minimal uncertainty.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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