National Weather Service observations and forecast models indicate that scattered thunderstorms and increased cloud cover over Houston on June 4 limited daytime heating, holding the official high at the William P. Hobby Airport station to 84–85 °F. This convective suppression deviated from early-June climatological normals of 88–92 °F, where clearer skies typically allow stronger insolation and surface warming. Market-implied odds reflect near-certainty in the measured maximum, consistent with real-time station data and the resolution criteria tied to National Weather Service climatological reports. A later shift in storm timing or reduced cloud cover could have nudged readings into the 86–87 °F range, though current guidance and post-event verification rule out such outcomes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Houston on June 4?
Highest temperature in Houston on June 4?
84-85°F 100.0%
73°F or below <1%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
$42,031 ปริมาณ
$42,031 ปริมาณ
Jun 4, 2026
73°F or below
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
Yes
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92°F or higher
No
84-85°F 100.0%
73°F or below <1%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
$42,031 ปริมาณ
$42,031 ปริมาณ
Jun 4, 2026
73°F or below
$187 ปริมาณ
No
74-75°F
$681 ปริมาณ
No
76-77°F
$1,256 ปริมาณ
No
78-79°F
$7,630 ปริมาณ
No
80-81°F
$6,022 ปริมาณ
No
82-83°F
$4,611 ปริมาณ
No
84-85°F
$6,216 ปริมาณ
Yes
86-87°F
$5,978 ปริมาณ
No
88-89°F
$3,563 ปริมาณ
No
90-91°F
$4,323 ปริมาณ
No
92°F or higher
$1,565 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service observations and forecast models indicate that scattered thunderstorms and increased cloud cover over Houston on June 4 limited daytime heating, holding the official high at the William P. Hobby Airport station to 84–85 °F. This convective suppression deviated from early-June climatological normals of 88–92 °F, where clearer skies typically allow stronger insolation and surface warming. Market-implied odds reflect near-certainty in the measured maximum, consistent with real-time station data and the resolution criteria tied to National Weather Service climatological reports. A later shift in storm timing or reduced cloud cover could have nudged readings into the 86–87 °F range, though current guidance and post-event verification rule out such outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$42,031วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service observations and forecast models indicate that scattered thunderstorms and increased cloud cover over Houston on June 4 limited daytime heating, holding the official high at the William P. Hobby Airport station to 84–85 °F. This convective suppression deviated from early-June climatological normals of 88–92 °F, where clearer skies typically allow stronger insolation and surface warming. Market-implied odds reflect near-certainty in the measured maximum, consistent with real-time station data and the resolution criteria tied to National Weather Service climatological reports. A later shift in storm timing or reduced cloud cover could have nudged readings into the 86–87 °F range, though current guidance and post-event verification rule out such outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$42,031วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
National Weather Service observations and forecast models indicate that scattered thunderstorms and increased cloud cover over Houston on June 4 limited daytime heating, holding the official high at the William P. Hobby Airport station to 84–85 °F. This convective suppression deviated from early-June climatological normals of 88–92 °F, where clearer skies typically allow stronger insolation and surface warming. Market-implied odds reflect near-certainty in the measured maximum, consistent with real-time station data and the resolution criteria tied to National Weather Service climatological reports. A later shift in storm timing or reduced cloud cover could have nudged readings into the 86–87 °F range, though current guidance and post-event verification rule out such outcomes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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