**Forecast consensus positions 25°C as the leading outcome for Istanbul's highest temperature on September 9, 2026.** Multiple meteorological sources, including regional models and local observations, project a daytime maximum of 25–27°C under mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions with moderate northeasterly winds (Poyraz) at 15–25 km/h. These stable atmospheric patterns, typical for early September and without incoming low-pressure systems or anomalous warming, align with the market's heavy weighting toward 25°C (58.5%) over 26°C (23.5%) or 24°C (12.5%). Historical climatology shows similar early-fall maxima near seasonal norms, and no recent model runs indicate significant deviation. Final hourly observations from official stations will determine the exact peak, with any last-minute forecast adjustments potentially shifting near-term probabilities.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Istanbul on September 9?
25°C 60%
26°C 24%
24°C 12%
27°C 4%
21°C or below
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
3%
24°C
12%
25°C
60%
26°C
24%
27°C
4%
28°C
2%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
25°C 60%
26°C 24%
24°C 12%
27°C 4%
21°C or below
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
3%
24°C
12%
25°C
60%
26°C
24%
27°C
4%
28°C
2%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 7, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus positions 25°C as the leading outcome for Istanbul's highest temperature on September 9, 2026.** Multiple meteorological sources, including regional models and local observations, project a daytime maximum of 25–27°C under mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions with moderate northeasterly winds (Poyraz) at 15–25 km/h. These stable atmospheric patterns, typical for early September and without incoming low-pressure systems or anomalous warming, align with the market's heavy weighting toward 25°C (58.5%) over 26°C (23.5%) or 24°C (12.5%). Historical climatology shows similar early-fall maxima near seasonal norms, and no recent model runs indicate significant deviation. Final hourly observations from official stations will determine the exact peak, with any last-minute forecast adjustments potentially shifting near-term probabilities.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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