Official METAR observations from Murtala Muhammed International Airport (DNMM) in Lagos, Nigeria—the authoritative resolution source via Weather Underground—confirm the highest temperature on April 20, 2026, reached 28°C or below, driving Polymarket's 100% trader consensus on this outcome. Persistent low-level clouds and afternoon thunderstorms, as predicted by Nigeria Meteorological Agency (NiMet) forecasts, sharply reduced solar insolation and suppressed daytime heating, well below April climatological averages of 32–34°C amid the transition to wet season. This aligns with historical patterns where early rains cool urban heat islands. Realistic challenges are minimal but could include post hoc data revisions from equipment calibration issues or auxiliary station discrepancies, though airport synoptic records carry highest evidentiary weight.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Lagos on April 20?
Highest temperature in Lagos on April 20?
28°C or below 99.9%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$177,304 ปริมาณ
$177,304 ปริมาณ
Apr 20, 2026
28°C or below
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C or higher
No
28°C or below 99.9%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$177,304 ปริมาณ
$177,304 ปริมาณ
Apr 20, 2026
28°C or below
$68,649 ปริมาณ
Yes
29°C
$12,734 ปริมาณ
No
30°C
$9,869 ปริมาณ
No
31°C
$9,912 ปริมาณ
No
32°C
$13,344 ปริมาณ
No
33°C
$15,262 ปริมาณ
No
34°C
$12,964 ปริมาณ
No
35°C
$10,705 ปริมาณ
No
36°C
$9,086 ปริมาณ
No
37°C
$6,393 ปริมาณ
No
38°C or higher
$8,387 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official METAR observations from Murtala Muhammed International Airport (DNMM) in Lagos, Nigeria—the authoritative resolution source via Weather Underground—confirm the highest temperature on April 20, 2026, reached 28°C or below, driving Polymarket's 100% trader consensus on this outcome. Persistent low-level clouds and afternoon thunderstorms, as predicted by Nigeria Meteorological Agency (NiMet) forecasts, sharply reduced solar insolation and suppressed daytime heating, well below April climatological averages of 32–34°C amid the transition to wet season. This aligns with historical patterns where early rains cool urban heat islands. Realistic challenges are minimal but could include post hoc data revisions from equipment calibration issues or auxiliary station discrepancies, though airport synoptic records carry highest evidentiary weight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 18, 2026, 12:27 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$177,304วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 18, 2026, 12:27 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMMResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: Yes
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official METAR observations from Murtala Muhammed International Airport (DNMM) in Lagos, Nigeria—the authoritative resolution source via Weather Underground—confirm the highest temperature on April 20, 2026, reached 28°C or below, driving Polymarket's 100% trader consensus on this outcome. Persistent low-level clouds and afternoon thunderstorms, as predicted by Nigeria Meteorological Agency (NiMet) forecasts, sharply reduced solar insolation and suppressed daytime heating, well below April climatological averages of 32–34°C amid the transition to wet season. This aligns with historical patterns where early rains cool urban heat islands. Realistic challenges are minimal but could include post hoc data revisions from equipment calibration issues or auxiliary station discrepancies, though airport synoptic records carry highest evidentiary weight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$177,304วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 18, 2026, 12:27 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMMResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: Yes
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: Yes
Official METAR observations from Murtala Muhammed International Airport (DNMM) in Lagos, Nigeria—the authoritative resolution source via Weather Underground—confirm the highest temperature on April 20, 2026, reached 28°C or below, driving Polymarket's 100% trader consensus on this outcome. Persistent low-level clouds and afternoon thunderstorms, as predicted by Nigeria Meteorological Agency (NiMet) forecasts, sharply reduced solar insolation and suppressed daytime heating, well below April climatological averages of 32–34°C amid the transition to wet season. This aligns with historical patterns where early rains cool urban heat islands. Realistic challenges are minimal but could include post hoc data revisions from equipment calibration issues or auxiliary station discrepancies, though airport synoptic records carry highest evidentiary weight.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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