Persistent southwest monsoon activity over Uttar Pradesh, including active low-pressure systems and widespread cloud cover, is moderating daytime heating in Lucknow and anchoring market-implied odds near 32–34°C for August 29. Official IMD guidance projects a maximum near 34°C under partly cloudy skies with isolated thunderstorms possible, while ensemble model outputs and recent observations show highs fluctuating between 32–35°C depending on the timing and intensity of convective rainfall. High humidity near 90% and light winds further limit peak temperatures by enhancing evaporative cooling and reducing solar insolation. With leading probabilities clustered tightly, traders are weighting the balance between brief clear intervals that could allow brief warming to 34°C and more persistent cloud-rain scenarios favoring 32–33°C.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Lucknow on August 29?
33°C 33%
32°C 25%
31°C 15%
34°C 13%
$11,030 ปริมาณ
$11,030 ปริมาณ
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
4%
31°C
15%
32°C
25%
33°C
33%
34°C
13%
35°C or higher
6%
33°C 33%
32°C 25%
31°C 15%
34°C 13%
$11,030 ปริมาณ
$11,030 ปริมาณ
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
4%
31°C
15%
32°C
25%
33°C
33%
34°C
13%
35°C or higher
6%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Persistent southwest monsoon activity over Uttar Pradesh, including active low-pressure systems and widespread cloud cover, is moderating daytime heating in Lucknow and anchoring market-implied odds near 32–34°C for August 29. Official IMD guidance projects a maximum near 34°C under partly cloudy skies with isolated thunderstorms possible, while ensemble model outputs and recent observations show highs fluctuating between 32–35°C depending on the timing and intensity of convective rainfall. High humidity near 90% and light winds further limit peak temperatures by enhancing evaporative cooling and reducing solar insolation. With leading probabilities clustered tightly, traders are weighting the balance between brief clear intervals that could allow brief warming to 34°C and more persistent cloud-rain scenarios favoring 32–33°C.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว

ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย