Official AEMET observations from Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport, the market's resolution authority, recorded a maximum temperature of 22.1°C at 16:30 on April 24, 2026, driving unanimous trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 22°C outcome. Cloudy skies, scattered showers, and northerly winds capping daytime heating—consistent with forecast model consensus from ECMWF and AEMET—prevented higher readings, aligning with April climatological averages around 19–20°C for Madrid. While final hourly data certification could prompt minor revisions, such adjustments rarely exceed 0.5°C post-verification; an improbable late-afternoon sensor recalibration or overlooked peak above 22.5°C would be needed to shift odds, but current observations show stability. Traders await AEMET's end-of-day summary for confirmation.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Madrid on April 24?
Highest temperature in Madrid on April 24?
22°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$149,214 ปริมาณ
$149,214 ปริมาณ
Apr 24, 2026
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
Yes
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
22°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$149,214 ปริมาณ
$149,214 ปริมาณ
Apr 24, 2026
18°C or below
$9,467 ปริมาณ
No
19°C
$12,373 ปริมาณ
No
20°C
$13,974 ปริมาณ
No
21°C
$15,606 ปริมาณ
No
22°C
$21,511 ปริมาณ
Yes
23°C
$24,517 ปริมาณ
No
24°C
$15,281 ปริมาณ
No
25°C
$16,843 ปริมาณ
No
26°C
$7,784 ปริมาณ
No
27°C
$4,013 ปริมาณ
No
28°C or higher
$7,847 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official AEMET observations from Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport, the market's resolution authority, recorded a maximum temperature of 22.1°C at 16:30 on April 24, 2026, driving unanimous trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 22°C outcome. Cloudy skies, scattered showers, and northerly winds capping daytime heating—consistent with forecast model consensus from ECMWF and AEMET—prevented higher readings, aligning with April climatological averages around 19–20°C for Madrid. While final hourly data certification could prompt minor revisions, such adjustments rarely exceed 0.5°C post-verification; an improbable late-afternoon sensor recalibration or overlooked peak above 22.5°C would be needed to shift odds, but current observations show stability. Traders await AEMET's end-of-day summary for confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 22, 2026, 12:36 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$149,214วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 24, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 22, 2026, 12:36 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official AEMET observations from Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport, the market's resolution authority, recorded a maximum temperature of 22.1°C at 16:30 on April 24, 2026, driving unanimous trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 22°C outcome. Cloudy skies, scattered showers, and northerly winds capping daytime heating—consistent with forecast model consensus from ECMWF and AEMET—prevented higher readings, aligning with April climatological averages around 19–20°C for Madrid. While final hourly data certification could prompt minor revisions, such adjustments rarely exceed 0.5°C post-verification; an improbable late-afternoon sensor recalibration or overlooked peak above 22.5°C would be needed to shift odds, but current observations show stability. Traders await AEMET's end-of-day summary for confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$149,214วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 24, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 22, 2026, 12:36 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Official AEMET observations from Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport, the market's resolution authority, recorded a maximum temperature of 22.1°C at 16:30 on April 24, 2026, driving unanimous trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 22°C outcome. Cloudy skies, scattered showers, and northerly winds capping daytime heating—consistent with forecast model consensus from ECMWF and AEMET—prevented higher readings, aligning with April climatological averages around 19–20°C for Madrid. While final hourly data certification could prompt minor revisions, such adjustments rarely exceed 0.5°C post-verification; an improbable late-afternoon sensor recalibration or overlooked peak above 22.5°C would be needed to shift odds, but current observations show stability. Traders await AEMET's end-of-day summary for confirmation.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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