Official Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) observations at Munich Airport station (EDDM) confirm the highest temperature reached exactly 24°C on May 4, 2026, anchoring trader consensus at a 100% implied probability for this outcome amid negligible odds for 25°C or higher. Real-time METAR reports captured morning readings of 13°C escalating to 22°C by midday under partly cloudy skies and light southwest winds, peaking at 24°C before cooling, precisely matching pre-event consensus from ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts of 22–25°C highs driven by a stabilizing high-pressure ridge. This warm reading exceeds early May climatological norms of 17–19°C, reflecting ongoing mild spring conditions. Realistic challenges include rare DWD quality-control revisions uncovering sensor discrepancies, though preliminary data from authoritative monitoring carries overwhelming reliability for resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Munich on May 4?
Highest temperature in Munich on May 4?
24°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$82,973 ปริมาณ
$82,973 ปริมาณ
May 4, 2026
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C or higher
No
24°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$82,973 ปริมาณ
$82,973 ปริมาณ
May 4, 2026
16°C or below
$273 ปริมาณ
No
17°C
$337 ปริมาณ
No
18°C
$1,032 ปริมาณ
No
19°C
$2,402 ปริมาณ
No
20°C
$1,625 ปริมาณ
No
21°C
$4,697 ปริมาณ
No
22°C
$5,783 ปริมาณ
No
23°C
$13,107 ปริมาณ
No
24°C
$23,816 ปริมาณ
Yes
25°C
$14,548 ปริมาณ
No
26°C or higher
$15,354 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) observations at Munich Airport station (EDDM) confirm the highest temperature reached exactly 24°C on May 4, 2026, anchoring trader consensus at a 100% implied probability for this outcome amid negligible odds for 25°C or higher. Real-time METAR reports captured morning readings of 13°C escalating to 22°C by midday under partly cloudy skies and light southwest winds, peaking at 24°C before cooling, precisely matching pre-event consensus from ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts of 22–25°C highs driven by a stabilizing high-pressure ridge. This warm reading exceeds early May climatological norms of 17–19°C, reflecting ongoing mild spring conditions. Realistic challenges include rare DWD quality-control revisions uncovering sensor discrepancies, though preliminary data from authoritative monitoring carries overwhelming reliability for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 2, 2026, 12:41 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$82,973วันสิ้นสุด
May 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 2, 2026, 12:41 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) observations at Munich Airport station (EDDM) confirm the highest temperature reached exactly 24°C on May 4, 2026, anchoring trader consensus at a 100% implied probability for this outcome amid negligible odds for 25°C or higher. Real-time METAR reports captured morning readings of 13°C escalating to 22°C by midday under partly cloudy skies and light southwest winds, peaking at 24°C before cooling, precisely matching pre-event consensus from ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts of 22–25°C highs driven by a stabilizing high-pressure ridge. This warm reading exceeds early May climatological norms of 17–19°C, reflecting ongoing mild spring conditions. Realistic challenges include rare DWD quality-control revisions uncovering sensor discrepancies, though preliminary data from authoritative monitoring carries overwhelming reliability for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$82,973วันสิ้นสุด
May 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 2, 2026, 12:41 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Official Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) observations at Munich Airport station (EDDM) confirm the highest temperature reached exactly 24°C on May 4, 2026, anchoring trader consensus at a 100% implied probability for this outcome amid negligible odds for 25°C or higher. Real-time METAR reports captured morning readings of 13°C escalating to 22°C by midday under partly cloudy skies and light southwest winds, peaking at 24°C before cooling, precisely matching pre-event consensus from ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts of 22–25°C highs driven by a stabilizing high-pressure ridge. This warm reading exceeds early May climatological norms of 17–19°C, reflecting ongoing mild spring conditions. Realistic challenges include rare DWD quality-control revisions uncovering sensor discrepancies, though preliminary data from authoritative monitoring carries overwhelming reliability for resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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