Official National Weather Service observations at San Francisco International Airport (KSFO) confirm the highest temperature on April 18, 2026, reached 72°F around 2:45 p.m. PDT amid mostly sunny skies, light west winds, and a stable high-pressure ridge over Northern California—aligning precisely with pre-event NOAA forecast model consensus projecting daytime highs near 69–71°F. This trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 68°F or higher reflects verified ASOS data from the automated surface observing system, which captures peak readings with high reliability. Scenarios challenging this would require rare post hoc revisions to official records, such as equipment malfunctions or data quality issues, though historical precedents show maximum temperatures are seldom adjusted. The market nears resolution pending final Weather Underground validation using KSFO data.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in San Francisco on April 18?
68°F or higher 100.0%
49°F or below <1%
50-51°F <1%
52-53°F <1%
$38,954 ปริมาณ
$38,954 ปริมาณ
49°F or below
No
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68°F or higher
Yes
68°F or higher 100.0%
49°F or below <1%
50-51°F <1%
52-53°F <1%
$38,954 ปริมาณ
$38,954 ปริมาณ
49°F or below
No
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68°F or higher
Yes
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 16, 2026, 12:27 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Official National Weather Service observations at San Francisco International Airport (KSFO) confirm the highest temperature on April 18, 2026, reached 72°F around 2:45 p.m. PDT amid mostly sunny skies, light west winds, and a stable high-pressure ridge over Northern California—aligning precisely with pre-event NOAA forecast model consensus projecting daytime highs near 69–71°F. This trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 68°F or higher reflects verified ASOS data from the automated surface observing system, which captures peak readings with high reliability. Scenarios challenging this would require rare post hoc revisions to official records, such as equipment malfunctions or data quality issues, though historical precedents show maximum temperatures are seldom adjusted. The market nears resolution pending final Weather Underground validation using KSFO data.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว

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