Official observations from Weather Underground at San Francisco International Airport (KSFO)—the market's resolution source—confirm the highest temperature on April 21, 2026, reached 62°F around midday under mostly cloudy skies with 0.65 inches of light rain and gusty winds up to 26 mph, aligning perfectly with trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 62-63°F. This outcome reflects persistent marine layer influence and cool Pacific air masses typical for mid-April in San Francisco, where historical daily highs average 63-65°F amid frequent fog and drizzle. National Weather Service data similarly reports a peak near 63°F with light rain, reinforcing the positioning. Realistic challenges would require a rare data revision from automated sensors or station metadata corrections, though such adjustments are infrequent post-preliminary reporting.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in San Francisco on April 21?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on April 21?
62-63°F 100.0%
51°F or below <1%
52-53°F <1%
54-55°F <1%
$101,526 ปริมาณ
$101,526 ปริมาณ
Apr 21, 2026
51°F or below
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
Yes
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70°F or higher
No
62-63°F 100.0%
51°F or below <1%
52-53°F <1%
54-55°F <1%
$101,526 ปริมาณ
$101,526 ปริมาณ
Apr 21, 2026
51°F or below
$1,764 ปริมาณ
No
52-53°F
$1,977 ปริมาณ
No
54-55°F
$9,839 ปริมาณ
No
56-57°F
$9,924 ปริมาณ
No
58-59°F
$6,623 ปริมาณ
No
60-61°F
$22,073 ปริมาณ
No
62-63°F
$14,467 ปริมาณ
Yes
64-65°F
$12,534 ปริมาณ
No
66-67°F
$7,069 ปริมาณ
No
68-69°F
$7,303 ปริมาณ
No
70°F or higher
$7,952 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Weather Underground at San Francisco International Airport (KSFO)—the market's resolution source—confirm the highest temperature on April 21, 2026, reached 62°F around midday under mostly cloudy skies with 0.65 inches of light rain and gusty winds up to 26 mph, aligning perfectly with trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 62-63°F. This outcome reflects persistent marine layer influence and cool Pacific air masses typical for mid-April in San Francisco, where historical daily highs average 63-65°F amid frequent fog and drizzle. National Weather Service data similarly reports a peak near 63°F with light rain, reinforcing the positioning. Realistic challenges would require a rare data revision from automated sensors or station metadata corrections, though such adjustments are infrequent post-preliminary reporting.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 19, 2026, 12:14 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$101,526วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 21, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 19, 2026, 12:14 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Weather Underground at San Francisco International Airport (KSFO)—the market's resolution source—confirm the highest temperature on April 21, 2026, reached 62°F around midday under mostly cloudy skies with 0.65 inches of light rain and gusty winds up to 26 mph, aligning perfectly with trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 62-63°F. This outcome reflects persistent marine layer influence and cool Pacific air masses typical for mid-April in San Francisco, where historical daily highs average 63-65°F amid frequent fog and drizzle. National Weather Service data similarly reports a peak near 63°F with light rain, reinforcing the positioning. Realistic challenges would require a rare data revision from automated sensors or station metadata corrections, though such adjustments are infrequent post-preliminary reporting.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$101,526วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 21, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 19, 2026, 12:14 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Official observations from Weather Underground at San Francisco International Airport (KSFO)—the market's resolution source—confirm the highest temperature on April 21, 2026, reached 62°F around midday under mostly cloudy skies with 0.65 inches of light rain and gusty winds up to 26 mph, aligning perfectly with trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 62-63°F. This outcome reflects persistent marine layer influence and cool Pacific air masses typical for mid-April in San Francisco, where historical daily highs average 63-65°F amid frequent fog and drizzle. National Weather Service data similarly reports a peak near 63°F with light rain, reinforcing the positioning. Realistic challenges would require a rare data revision from automated sensors or station metadata corrections, though such adjustments are infrequent post-preliminary reporting.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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