Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to the 60-61°F outcome for Seattle's highest temperature at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA) on May 8, 2026, reflecting official National Weather Service observations confirming a daily maximum of 61°F amid persistent marine stratus and light onshore flow that capped peak heating. This positioning stems from a cooling trend after early-May record highs near 81°F, driven by a weakening upper-level ridge, southerly winds, and coastal low clouds limiting solar insolation despite partial afternoon clearing—conditions echoed in model ensembles projecting 62-66°F but overridden by real-time data showing overnight lows in the low 50s°F and daytime peaks stalled below 62°F. Realistic challenges include minor post-processing revisions to quality-controlled NOAA data elevating the high to 62°F, though preliminary airport ASOS readings and evening reports solidify the lower bin; final resolution awaits NWS climatological summary.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Seattle on May 8?
Highest temperature in Seattle on May 8?
60-61°F 100.0%
53°F or below <1%
54-55°F <1%
56-57°F <1%
$80,005 ปริมาณ
$80,005 ปริมาณ
May 8, 2026
53°F or below
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
Yes
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72°F or higher
No
60-61°F 100.0%
53°F or below <1%
54-55°F <1%
56-57°F <1%
$80,005 ปริมาณ
$80,005 ปริมาณ
May 8, 2026
53°F or below
$6,380 ปริมาณ
No
54-55°F
$4,217 ปริมาณ
No
56-57°F
$4,489 ปริมาณ
No
58-59°F
$7,304 ปริมาณ
No
60-61°F
$17,044 ปริมาณ
Yes
62-63°F
$8,084 ปริมาณ
No
64-65°F
$5,690 ปริมาณ
No
66-67°F
$6,616 ปริมาณ
No
68-69°F
$5,870 ปริมาณ
No
70-71°F
$5,228 ปริมาณ
No
72°F or higher
$9,084 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to the 60-61°F outcome for Seattle's highest temperature at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA) on May 8, 2026, reflecting official National Weather Service observations confirming a daily maximum of 61°F amid persistent marine stratus and light onshore flow that capped peak heating. This positioning stems from a cooling trend after early-May record highs near 81°F, driven by a weakening upper-level ridge, southerly winds, and coastal low clouds limiting solar insolation despite partial afternoon clearing—conditions echoed in model ensembles projecting 62-66°F but overridden by real-time data showing overnight lows in the low 50s°F and daytime peaks stalled below 62°F. Realistic challenges include minor post-processing revisions to quality-controlled NOAA data elevating the high to 62°F, though preliminary airport ASOS readings and evening reports solidify the lower bin; final resolution awaits NWS climatological summary.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 6, 2026, 12:20 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$80,005วันสิ้นสุด
May 8, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 6, 2026, 12:20 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to the 60-61°F outcome for Seattle's highest temperature at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA) on May 8, 2026, reflecting official National Weather Service observations confirming a daily maximum of 61°F amid persistent marine stratus and light onshore flow that capped peak heating. This positioning stems from a cooling trend after early-May record highs near 81°F, driven by a weakening upper-level ridge, southerly winds, and coastal low clouds limiting solar insolation despite partial afternoon clearing—conditions echoed in model ensembles projecting 62-66°F but overridden by real-time data showing overnight lows in the low 50s°F and daytime peaks stalled below 62°F. Realistic challenges include minor post-processing revisions to quality-controlled NOAA data elevating the high to 62°F, though preliminary airport ASOS readings and evening reports solidify the lower bin; final resolution awaits NWS climatological summary.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$80,005วันสิ้นสุด
May 8, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 6, 2026, 12:20 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to the 60-61°F outcome for Seattle's highest temperature at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA) on May 8, 2026, reflecting official National Weather Service observations confirming a daily maximum of 61°F amid persistent marine stratus and light onshore flow that capped peak heating. This positioning stems from a cooling trend after early-May record highs near 81°F, driven by a weakening upper-level ridge, southerly winds, and coastal low clouds limiting solar insolation despite partial afternoon clearing—conditions echoed in model ensembles projecting 62-66°F but overridden by real-time data showing overnight lows in the low 50s°F and daytime peaks stalled below 62°F. Realistic challenges include minor post-processing revisions to quality-controlled NOAA data elevating the high to 62°F, though preliminary airport ASOS readings and evening reports solidify the lower bin; final resolution awaits NWS climatological summary.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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