Current forecast consensus from meteorological models projects a daily maximum near 31–32°C in Tel Aviv on September 4 under partly cloudy skies, moderate westerly winds, and typical late-summer high pressure. These conditions favor modest daytime heating without the stronger easterly flows or clearer skies that could push readings higher, aligning with climatological baselines around 30°C for early September. Trader consensus, reflected in the 69.5% implied probability on 32°C, incorporates recent model runs showing stable thermal profiles and low precipitation chances, while assigning lower odds to 33°C or above due to limited intensification potential. Updated guidance from the Israel Meteorological Service and global ensembles will refine resolution thresholds ahead of the observation window.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 4?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 4?
32°C 70%
33°C 11%
31°C 6%
30°C 6%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 4, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
6%
31°C
6%
32°C
70%
33°C
11%
34°C
3%
35°C
1%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
32°C 70%
33°C 11%
31°C 6%
30°C 6%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 4, 2026
28°C or below
$80 ปริมาณ
<1%
29°C
$300 ปริมาณ
1%
30°C
$94 ปริมาณ
6%
31°C
$11 ปริมาณ
6%
32°C
$498 ปริมาณ
70%
33°C
$315 ปริมาณ
11%
34°C
$125 ปริมาณ
3%
35°C
$205 ปริมาณ
1%
36°C
$371 ปริมาณ
1%
37°C
$396 ปริมาณ
<1%
38°C or higher
$296 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from meteorological models projects a daily maximum near 31–32°C in Tel Aviv on September 4 under partly cloudy skies, moderate westerly winds, and typical late-summer high pressure. These conditions favor modest daytime heating without the stronger easterly flows or clearer skies that could push readings higher, aligning with climatological baselines around 30°C for early September. Trader consensus, reflected in the 69.5% implied probability on 32°C, incorporates recent model runs showing stable thermal profiles and low precipitation chances, while assigning lower odds to 33°C or above due to limited intensification potential. Updated guidance from the Israel Meteorological Service and global ensembles will refine resolution thresholds ahead of the observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,692วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from meteorological models projects a daily maximum near 31–32°C in Tel Aviv on September 4 under partly cloudy skies, moderate westerly winds, and typical late-summer high pressure. These conditions favor modest daytime heating without the stronger easterly flows or clearer skies that could push readings higher, aligning with climatological baselines around 30°C for early September. Trader consensus, reflected in the 69.5% implied probability on 32°C, incorporates recent model runs showing stable thermal profiles and low precipitation chances, while assigning lower odds to 33°C or above due to limited intensification potential. Updated guidance from the Israel Meteorological Service and global ensembles will refine resolution thresholds ahead of the observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,692วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast consensus from meteorological models projects a daily maximum near 31–32°C in Tel Aviv on September 4 under partly cloudy skies, moderate westerly winds, and typical late-summer high pressure. These conditions favor modest daytime heating without the stronger easterly flows or clearer skies that could push readings higher, aligning with climatological baselines around 30°C for early September. Trader consensus, reflected in the 69.5% implied probability on 32°C, incorporates recent model runs showing stable thermal profiles and low precipitation chances, while assigning lower odds to 33°C or above due to limited intensification potential. Updated guidance from the Israel Meteorological Service and global ensembles will refine resolution thresholds ahead of the observation window.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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