Recent official forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and European models point to a daily maximum near 21–22 °C in Warsaw on July 9, following the early-July moderation after late-June heatwave records. This positioning stems from a weakening high-pressure ridge giving way to Atlantic air advection, increased cloud cover, and light precipitation chances that limit daytime heating. Ensemble runs cluster tightly around these values, with small timing differences in clearing skies or wind shifts able to swing the peak by 1–2 °C and explain why 20 °C leads at 35 % implied probability while 22 °C or higher sits near 15 %. Historical July averages near 24 °C provide context, yet current steering patterns favor the cooler side of the distribution ahead of the next model updates.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Warsaw on July 9?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on July 9?
18°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$52,736 ปริมาณ
$52,736 ปริมาณ
Jul 9, 2026
12°C or below
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
Yes
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C or higher
No
18°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$52,736 ปริมาณ
$52,736 ปริมาณ
Jul 9, 2026
12°C or below
$1,765 ปริมาณ
No
13°C
$1,765 ปริมาณ
No
14°C
$1,365 ปริมาณ
No
15°C
$1,376 ปริมาณ
No
16°C
$2,045 ปริมาณ
No
17°C
$2,547 ปริมาณ
No
18°C
$13,396 ปริมาณ
Yes
19°C
$9,799 ปริมาณ
No
20°C
$7,455 ปริมาณ
No
21°C
$4,530 ปริมาณ
No
22°C or higher
$6,693 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and European models point to a daily maximum near 21–22 °C in Warsaw on July 9, following the early-July moderation after late-June heatwave records. This positioning stems from a weakening high-pressure ridge giving way to Atlantic air advection, increased cloud cover, and light precipitation chances that limit daytime heating. Ensemble runs cluster tightly around these values, with small timing differences in clearing skies or wind shifts able to swing the peak by 1–2 °C and explain why 20 °C leads at 35 % implied probability while 22 °C or higher sits near 15 %. Historical July averages near 24 °C provide context, yet current steering patterns favor the cooler side of the distribution ahead of the next model updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$52,736วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 9, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and European models point to a daily maximum near 21–22 °C in Warsaw on July 9, following the early-July moderation after late-June heatwave records. This positioning stems from a weakening high-pressure ridge giving way to Atlantic air advection, increased cloud cover, and light precipitation chances that limit daytime heating. Ensemble runs cluster tightly around these values, with small timing differences in clearing skies or wind shifts able to swing the peak by 1–2 °C and explain why 20 °C leads at 35 % implied probability while 22 °C or higher sits near 15 %. Historical July averages near 24 °C provide context, yet current steering patterns favor the cooler side of the distribution ahead of the next model updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$52,736วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 9, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Recent official forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and European models point to a daily maximum near 21–22 °C in Warsaw on July 9, following the early-July moderation after late-June heatwave records. This positioning stems from a weakening high-pressure ridge giving way to Atlantic air advection, increased cloud cover, and light precipitation chances that limit daytime heating. Ensemble runs cluster tightly around these values, with small timing differences in clearing skies or wind shifts able to swing the peak by 1–2 °C and explain why 20 °C leads at 35 % implied probability while 22 °C or higher sits near 15 %. Historical July averages near 24 °C provide context, yet current steering patterns favor the cooler side of the distribution ahead of the next model updates.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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