Recent numerical weather prediction models, including outputs aligned with GFS and ECMWF guidance, show Zhengzhou under stable high pressure with clear skies and light northeasterly flow on September 3, supporting daily maximum temperatures clustered tightly around 29–30 °C. This narrow range arises from minor differences in boundary-layer mixing and daytime insolation under low humidity, consistent with early-September climatology for the region. Ensemble spread remains limited, keeping the probability of 31 °C or higher modest while rendering sub-28 °C outcomes unlikely absent an unexpected frontal intrusion. Official surface observations from the China Meteorological Administration will provide the definitive maximum for market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Zhengzhou on September 3?
29°C 35%
30°C 22%
27°C 20%
28°C 15%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
20%
28°C
15%
29°C
35%
30°C
35%
31°C
18%
32°C or higher
8%
29°C 35%
30°C 22%
27°C 20%
28°C 15%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
20%
28°C
15%
29°C
35%
30°C
35%
31°C
18%
32°C or higher
8%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 2, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction models, including outputs aligned with GFS and ECMWF guidance, show Zhengzhou under stable high pressure with clear skies and light northeasterly flow on September 3, supporting daily maximum temperatures clustered tightly around 29–30 °C. This narrow range arises from minor differences in boundary-layer mixing and daytime insolation under low humidity, consistent with early-September climatology for the region. Ensemble spread remains limited, keeping the probability of 31 °C or higher modest while rendering sub-28 °C outcomes unlikely absent an unexpected frontal intrusion. Official surface observations from the China Meteorological Administration will provide the definitive maximum for market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว


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