Steve Scalise, the longtime Republican incumbent and House Majority Leader, anchors the commanding 96% Republican probability in Louisiana’s 1st congressional district. The seat sits in a solidly Republican area with a consistent partisan lean exceeding R+19, where the party has held the seat for over a decade and Scalise posted 66.8% in 2024. All major forecasters rate the race Safe or Solid Republican. Scalise maintains a decisive edge in fundraising and name recognition against Democratic challenger Lauren Jewett and fellow Republican Randall Arrington ahead of the November 3 open primary. Democratic prospects remain limited by the district’s voter composition and the absence of recent developments that would alter its structural tilt. A late scandal, health event, or unforeseen primary disruption represent the primary scenarios that could narrow the gap before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLA-01 House Election Winner
LA-01 House Election Winner
$52,223 ปริมาณ
$52,223 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
96%
Democratic Party
5%
$52,223 ปริมาณ
$52,223 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$22,399 ปริมาณ
96%
Democratic Party
$29,823 ปริมาณ
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Steve Scalise, the longtime Republican incumbent and House Majority Leader, anchors the commanding 96% Republican probability in Louisiana’s 1st congressional district. The seat sits in a solidly Republican area with a consistent partisan lean exceeding R+19, where the party has held the seat for over a decade and Scalise posted 66.8% in 2024. All major forecasters rate the race Safe or Solid Republican. Scalise maintains a decisive edge in fundraising and name recognition against Democratic challenger Lauren Jewett and fellow Republican Randall Arrington ahead of the November 3 open primary. Democratic prospects remain limited by the district’s voter composition and the absence of recent developments that would alter its structural tilt. A late scandal, health event, or unforeseen primary disruption represent the primary scenarios that could narrow the gap before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$52,223วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Steve Scalise, the longtime Republican incumbent and House Majority Leader, anchors the commanding 96% Republican probability in Louisiana’s 1st congressional district. The seat sits in a solidly Republican area with a consistent partisan lean exceeding R+19, where the party has held the seat for over a decade and Scalise posted 66.8% in 2024. All major forecasters rate the race Safe or Solid Republican. Scalise maintains a decisive edge in fundraising and name recognition against Democratic challenger Lauren Jewett and fellow Republican Randall Arrington ahead of the November 3 open primary. Democratic prospects remain limited by the district’s voter composition and the absence of recent developments that would alter its structural tilt. A late scandal, health event, or unforeseen primary disruption represent the primary scenarios that could narrow the gap before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$52,223วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Steve Scalise, the longtime Republican incumbent and House Majority Leader, anchors the commanding 96% Republican probability in Louisiana’s 1st congressional district. The seat sits in a solidly Republican area with a consistent partisan lean exceeding R+19, where the party has held the seat for over a decade and Scalise posted 66.8% in 2024. All major forecasters rate the race Safe or Solid Republican. Scalise maintains a decisive edge in fundraising and name recognition against Democratic challenger Lauren Jewett and fellow Republican Randall Arrington ahead of the November 3 open primary. Democratic prospects remain limited by the district’s voter composition and the absence of recent developments that would alter its structural tilt. A late scandal, health event, or unforeseen primary disruption represent the primary scenarios that could narrow the gap before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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