Forecast models from sources like the Met Office and GFS indicate Amsterdam's overnight minimum on September 13 will hinge on radiative cooling under mostly cloudy skies with light winds and high humidity near 90 percent, limiting temperature drops after daytime highs around 19–20 °C. Light rain or showers moderate heat loss by trapping longwave radiation, while any clearer intervals or calmer conditions could allow readings to dip toward 12–13 °C. Historical September averages near 11 °C provide context, yet current steering patterns and dew points near 14 °C support trader focus on the narrow 13–16 °C band. Model consensus remains tight but sensitive to small shifts in cloud timing or wind, keeping probabilities closely matched across leading outcomes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Amsterdam on September 13?
12°C or below 99%
14°C 99%
13°C 97%
17°C 92%
12°C or below
99%
13°C
97%
14°C
99%
15°C
50%
16°C
50%
17°C
92%
18°C
10%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
12°C or below 99%
14°C 99%
13°C 97%
17°C 92%
12°C or below
99%
13°C
97%
14°C
99%
15°C
50%
16°C
50%
17°C
92%
18°C
10%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 11, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources like the Met Office and GFS indicate Amsterdam's overnight minimum on September 13 will hinge on radiative cooling under mostly cloudy skies with light winds and high humidity near 90 percent, limiting temperature drops after daytime highs around 19–20 °C. Light rain or showers moderate heat loss by trapping longwave radiation, while any clearer intervals or calmer conditions could allow readings to dip toward 12–13 °C. Historical September averages near 11 °C provide context, yet current steering patterns and dew points near 14 °C support trader focus on the narrow 13–16 °C band. Model consensus remains tight but sensitive to small shifts in cloud timing or wind, keeping probabilities closely matched across leading outcomes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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