**Clear skies and strong nocturnal radiative cooling under high-pressure conditions have driven forecast models to project overnight lows of 12°C or below across Ankara on September 12, 2026.** At roughly 870–1,000 m elevation on the Anatolian plateau, the city experiences rapid temperature drops after sunset when humidity remains low and winds stay light. Multiple meteorological guidance products, including GFS and ECMWF runs, converge on minimums near or below this threshold, consistent with early-September climatology where average lows hover around 14°C but can dip lower under optimal cooling setups. The near-100% market-implied probability for 12°C or below reflects this model consensus and the limited time remaining for significant forecast shifts. Only an unexpected increase in cloud cover or warmer southerly flow would realistically push the official minimum above 12°C before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Ankara on September 12?
Lowest temperature in Ankara on September 12?
12°C or below 100.0%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 12, 2026
12°C or below
100%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
12°C or below 100.0%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 12, 2026
12°C or below
$45 ปริมาณ
100%
13°C
$45 ปริมาณ
<1%
14°C
$126 ปริมาณ
<1%
15°C
$442 ปริมาณ
<1%
16°C
$523 ปริมาณ
<1%
17°C
$185 ปริมาณ
<1%
18°C
$15 ปริมาณ
<1%
19°C
$15 ปริมาณ
<1%
20°C
$15 ปริมาณ
<1%
21°C
$45 ปริมาณ
<1%
22°C or higher
$15 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Clear skies and strong nocturnal radiative cooling under high-pressure conditions have driven forecast models to project overnight lows of 12°C or below across Ankara on September 12, 2026.** At roughly 870–1,000 m elevation on the Anatolian plateau, the city experiences rapid temperature drops after sunset when humidity remains low and winds stay light. Multiple meteorological guidance products, including GFS and ECMWF runs, converge on minimums near or below this threshold, consistent with early-September climatology where average lows hover around 14°C but can dip lower under optimal cooling setups. The near-100% market-implied probability for 12°C or below reflects this model consensus and the limited time remaining for significant forecast shifts. Only an unexpected increase in cloud cover or warmer southerly flow would realistically push the official minimum above 12°C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,471วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 12, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Clear skies and strong nocturnal radiative cooling under high-pressure conditions have driven forecast models to project overnight lows of 12°C or below across Ankara on September 12, 2026.** At roughly 870–1,000 m elevation on the Anatolian plateau, the city experiences rapid temperature drops after sunset when humidity remains low and winds stay light. Multiple meteorological guidance products, including GFS and ECMWF runs, converge on minimums near or below this threshold, consistent with early-September climatology where average lows hover around 14°C but can dip lower under optimal cooling setups. The near-100% market-implied probability for 12°C or below reflects this model consensus and the limited time remaining for significant forecast shifts. Only an unexpected increase in cloud cover or warmer southerly flow would realistically push the official minimum above 12°C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,471วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 12, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Clear skies and strong nocturnal radiative cooling under high-pressure conditions have driven forecast models to project overnight lows of 12°C or below across Ankara on September 12, 2026.** At roughly 870–1,000 m elevation on the Anatolian plateau, the city experiences rapid temperature drops after sunset when humidity remains low and winds stay light. Multiple meteorological guidance products, including GFS and ECMWF runs, converge on minimums near or below this threshold, consistent with early-September climatology where average lows hover around 14°C but can dip lower under optimal cooling setups. The near-100% market-implied probability for 12°C or below reflects this model consensus and the limited time remaining for significant forecast shifts. Only an unexpected increase in cloud cover or warmer southerly flow would realistically push the official minimum above 12°C before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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