**Current forecasts from major models point to a minimum temperature of 14°C in Cape Town today, driven by mild southerly flow, persistent cloud cover, and dew points holding near 13–14°C that limit radiative cooling overnight.** Multiple sources, including GFS-based outlooks and station guidance, show overnight lows stabilizing around 14–15°C under overcast conditions with winds from the south or southeast at 10–20 km/h. This setup aligns with the market’s strong 93.5% implied probability for exactly 14°C as the daily low. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected clear-sky window or stronger-than-forecast cooling, which could push readings to 13°C or lower before sunrise, though model consensus currently shows low likelihood of such a shift.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Cape Town on September 10?
Lowest temperature in Cape Town on September 10?
14°C 94%
9°C or below 63%
12°C 2%
10°C <1%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 10, 2026
9°C or below
63%
10°C
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
24%
13°C
33%
14°C
94%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
14°C 94%
9°C or below 63%
12°C 2%
10°C <1%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 10, 2026
9°C or below
$35 ปริมาณ
63%
10°C
$50 ปริมาณ
1%
11°C
$57 ปริมาณ
1%
12°C
$54 ปริมาณ
24%
13°C
$44 ปริมาณ
33%
14°C
$94 ปริมาณ
94%
15°C
$254 ปริมาณ
<1%
16°C
$391 ปริมาณ
<1%
17°C
$15 ปริมาณ
<1%
18°C
$85 ปริมาณ
<1%
19°C or higher
$82 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from major models point to a minimum temperature of 14°C in Cape Town today, driven by mild southerly flow, persistent cloud cover, and dew points holding near 13–14°C that limit radiative cooling overnight.** Multiple sources, including GFS-based outlooks and station guidance, show overnight lows stabilizing around 14–15°C under overcast conditions with winds from the south or southeast at 10–20 km/h. This setup aligns with the market’s strong 93.5% implied probability for exactly 14°C as the daily low.
A realistic challenge would require an unexpected clear-sky window or stronger-than-forecast cooling, which could push readings to 13°C or lower before sunrise, though model consensus currently shows low likelihood of such a shift.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 8, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,161วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 10, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 8, 2026, 12:31 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from major models point to a minimum temperature of 14°C in Cape Town today, driven by mild southerly flow, persistent cloud cover, and dew points holding near 13–14°C that limit radiative cooling overnight.** Multiple sources, including GFS-based outlooks and station guidance, show overnight lows stabilizing around 14–15°C under overcast conditions with winds from the south or southeast at 10–20 km/h. This setup aligns with the market’s strong 93.5% implied probability for exactly 14°C as the daily low.
A realistic challenge would require an unexpected clear-sky window or stronger-than-forecast cooling, which could push readings to 13°C or lower before sunrise, though model consensus currently shows low likelihood of such a shift.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,161วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 10, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 8, 2026, 12:31 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts from major models point to a minimum temperature of 14°C in Cape Town today, driven by mild southerly flow, persistent cloud cover, and dew points holding near 13–14°C that limit radiative cooling overnight.** Multiple sources, including GFS-based outlooks and station guidance, show overnight lows stabilizing around 14–15°C under overcast conditions with winds from the south or southeast at 10–20 km/h. This setup aligns with the market’s strong 93.5% implied probability for exactly 14°C as the daily low. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected clear-sky window or stronger-than-forecast cooling, which could push readings to 13°C or lower before sunrise, though model consensus currently shows low likelihood of such a shift.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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