**Forecast models from sources like PredictWind, WeatherBug, and GFS ensembles show Cape Town's overnight low on September 13 centering around 14–16°C, driven by southeasterly flow, extensive cloud cover, and scattered showers or thunderstorms that limit nocturnal radiative cooling.** Persistent moisture and light-to-moderate winds (typically 10–15 km/h) reduce the potential for sharp temperature drops, keeping the daily minimum above the September climatological average of ~10°C. Model consensus supports 14–15°C as the most probable range, though slight variations in shower timing or wind strength could shift the exact low by 1–2°C, explaining the tight market spread between those outcomes. Updated runs closer to the date will refine the precise minimum recorded at official stations.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Cape Town on September 13?
11°C or below 49%
21°C or higher 48%
16°C 28%
15°C 27%
11°C or below
49%
12°C
13%
13°C
16%
14°C
26%
15°C
27%
16°C
28%
17°C
22%
18°C
8%
19°C
7%
20°C
6%
21°C or higher
48%
11°C or below 49%
21°C or higher 48%
16°C 28%
15°C 27%
11°C or below
49%
12°C
13%
13°C
16%
14°C
26%
15°C
27%
16°C
28%
17°C
22%
18°C
8%
19°C
7%
20°C
6%
21°C or higher
48%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 11, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from sources like PredictWind, WeatherBug, and GFS ensembles show Cape Town's overnight low on September 13 centering around 14–16°C, driven by southeasterly flow, extensive cloud cover, and scattered showers or thunderstorms that limit nocturnal radiative cooling.** Persistent moisture and light-to-moderate winds (typically 10–15 km/h) reduce the potential for sharp temperature drops, keeping the daily minimum above the September climatological average of ~10°C. Model consensus supports 14–15°C as the most probable range, though slight variations in shower timing or wind strength could shift the exact low by 1–2°C, explaining the tight market spread between those outcomes. Updated runs closer to the date will refine the precise minimum recorded at official stations.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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