**Trader consensus strongly favors 18°C as the lowest temperature in Chengdu on September 10, 2026, at 97.5% implied probability.** This positioning reflects consistent forecasts from meteorological models showing overnight lows stabilizing near 17–18°C under overcast skies, light northerly winds, and lingering moisture from recent rainfall, with daytime highs only reaching the low 20s°C. Historical September baselines for the Sichuan basin support such mild minima when cloud cover limits radiative cooling. The market-implied odds align closely with official guidance projecting a narrow diurnal range of roughly 4–5°C. A significant upward revision in forecast models or unexpected clearing could push the actual minimum higher, while stronger northerly flow or clearer skies overnight might allow it to dip to 16°C or below. Updated model runs and official station readings near resolution time remain the key variables for traders.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Chengdu on September 10?
Lowest temperature in Chengdu on September 10?
18°C 98%
14°C or below 49%
15°C 46%
17°C 3%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 10, 2026
14°C or below
49%
15°C
46%
16°C
2%
17°C
3%
18°C
98%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
18°C 98%
14°C or below 49%
15°C 46%
17°C 3%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 10, 2026
14°C or below
$35 ปริมาณ
49%
15°C
$15 ปริมาณ
46%
16°C
$87 ปริมาณ
2%
17°C
$129 ปริมาณ
3%
18°C
$89 ปริมาณ
98%
19°C
$229 ปริมาณ
<1%
20°C
$156 ปริมาณ
<1%
21°C
$55 ปริมาณ
<1%
22°C
$80 ปริมาณ
<1%
23°C
$170 ปริมาณ
<1%
24°C or higher
$85 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors 18°C as the lowest temperature in Chengdu on September 10, 2026, at 97.5% implied probability.** This positioning reflects consistent forecasts from meteorological models showing overnight lows stabilizing near 17–18°C under overcast skies, light northerly winds, and lingering moisture from recent rainfall, with daytime highs only reaching the low 20s°C. Historical September baselines for the Sichuan basin support such mild minima when cloud cover limits radiative cooling. The market-implied odds align closely with official guidance projecting a narrow diurnal range of roughly 4–5°C. A significant upward revision in forecast models or unexpected clearing could push the actual minimum higher, while stronger northerly flow or clearer skies overnight might allow it to dip to 16°C or below. Updated model runs and official station readings near resolution time remain the key variables for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,130วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 10, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors 18°C as the lowest temperature in Chengdu on September 10, 2026, at 97.5% implied probability.** This positioning reflects consistent forecasts from meteorological models showing overnight lows stabilizing near 17–18°C under overcast skies, light northerly winds, and lingering moisture from recent rainfall, with daytime highs only reaching the low 20s°C. Historical September baselines for the Sichuan basin support such mild minima when cloud cover limits radiative cooling. The market-implied odds align closely with official guidance projecting a narrow diurnal range of roughly 4–5°C. A significant upward revision in forecast models or unexpected clearing could push the actual minimum higher, while stronger northerly flow or clearer skies overnight might allow it to dip to 16°C or below. Updated model runs and official station readings near resolution time remain the key variables for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,130วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 10, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus strongly favors 18°C as the lowest temperature in Chengdu on September 10, 2026, at 97.5% implied probability.** This positioning reflects consistent forecasts from meteorological models showing overnight lows stabilizing near 17–18°C under overcast skies, light northerly winds, and lingering moisture from recent rainfall, with daytime highs only reaching the low 20s°C. Historical September baselines for the Sichuan basin support such mild minima when cloud cover limits radiative cooling. The market-implied odds align closely with official guidance projecting a narrow diurnal range of roughly 4–5°C. A significant upward revision in forecast models or unexpected clearing could push the actual minimum higher, while stronger northerly flow or clearer skies overnight might allow it to dip to 16°C or below. Updated model runs and official station readings near resolution time remain the key variables for traders.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย