Forecast models for Chengdu on September 14 project a nighttime low near 17–18°C amid mostly cloudy skies, light rain, and light winds, consistent with the ongoing autumn transition and regional humidity patterns that limit radiative cooling. Recent days have featured similar overcast, moist conditions with lows holding in the mid-to-upper teens, reducing the chance of sharp drops below 14°C or spikes above 22°C. Differentiating factors include variable cloud thickness and precipitation timing, which can suppress or enhance minimum temperatures by several degrees through altered longwave radiation and evapotranspiration. Ensemble spreads in global and regional models reflect modest uncertainty in exact steering flows and moisture, keeping trader-implied odds closely balanced between cooler and warmer extremes while favoring the central range.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Chengdu on September 14?
13°C or below 44%
23°C or higher 44%
14°C 38%
15°C 38%
13°C or below
44%
14°C
38%
15°C
38%
16°C
22%
17°C
25%
18°C
22%
19°C
24%
20°C
38%
21°C
38%
22°C
38%
23°C or higher
44%
13°C or below 44%
23°C or higher 44%
14°C 38%
15°C 38%
13°C or below
44%
14°C
38%
15°C
38%
16°C
22%
17°C
25%
18°C
22%
19°C
24%
20°C
38%
21°C
38%
22°C
38%
23°C or higher
44%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models for Chengdu on September 14 project a nighttime low near 17–18°C amid mostly cloudy skies, light rain, and light winds, consistent with the ongoing autumn transition and regional humidity patterns that limit radiative cooling. Recent days have featured similar overcast, moist conditions with lows holding in the mid-to-upper teens, reducing the chance of sharp drops below 14°C or spikes above 22°C. Differentiating factors include variable cloud thickness and precipitation timing, which can suppress or enhance minimum temperatures by several degrees through altered longwave radiation and evapotranspiration. Ensemble spreads in global and regional models reflect modest uncertainty in exact steering flows and moisture, keeping trader-implied odds closely balanced between cooler and warmer extremes while favoring the central range.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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