Recent forecast models from sources including the Met Office and GFS indicate partly to mostly clear skies overnight into September 24, promoting radiative cooling that favors minimum temperatures near 11–14°C in Istanbul, consistent with the closely matched market-implied odds across the 7–17°C range. Northwesterly winds of 5–10 km/h and dew points around 10°C limit mixing and moisture, while any lingering cloud cover from the prior rainy period could moderate the low by 1–2°C. Historical September averages near 17°C provide context, but the current synoptic shift toward drier air differentiates the lower bins. Turkish Meteorological Service updates and final model runs before dawn represent the key near-term catalysts for traders.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Istanbul on September 24?
Lowest temperature in Istanbul on September 24?
7°C or below 96%
17°C or higher 96%
8°C 40%
9°C 40%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 24, 2026
7°C or below
96%
8°C
40%
9°C
40%
10°C
21%
11°C
22%
12°C
40%
13°C
40%
14°C
19%
15°C
18%
16°C
18%
17°C or higher
96%
7°C or below 96%
17°C or higher 96%
8°C 40%
9°C 40%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 24, 2026
7°C or below
$0 ปริมาณ
96%
8°C
$0 ปริมาณ
40%
9°C
$0 ปริมาณ
40%
10°C
$6 ปริมาณ
21%
11°C
$0 ปริมาณ
22%
12°C
$0 ปริมาณ
40%
13°C
$0 ปริมาณ
40%
14°C
$0 ปริมาณ
19%
15°C
$0 ปริมาณ
18%
16°C
$0 ปริมาณ
18%
17°C or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
96%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources including the Met Office and GFS indicate partly to mostly clear skies overnight into September 24, promoting radiative cooling that favors minimum temperatures near 11–14°C in Istanbul, consistent with the closely matched market-implied odds across the 7–17°C range. Northwesterly winds of 5–10 km/h and dew points around 10°C limit mixing and moisture, while any lingering cloud cover from the prior rainy period could moderate the low by 1–2°C. Historical September averages near 17°C provide context, but the current synoptic shift toward drier air differentiates the lower bins. Turkish Meteorological Service updates and final model runs before dawn represent the key near-term catalysts for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$6วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 24, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources including the Met Office and GFS indicate partly to mostly clear skies overnight into September 24, promoting radiative cooling that favors minimum temperatures near 11–14°C in Istanbul, consistent with the closely matched market-implied odds across the 7–17°C range. Northwesterly winds of 5–10 km/h and dew points around 10°C limit mixing and moisture, while any lingering cloud cover from the prior rainy period could moderate the low by 1–2°C. Historical September averages near 17°C provide context, but the current synoptic shift toward drier air differentiates the lower bins. Turkish Meteorological Service updates and final model runs before dawn represent the key near-term catalysts for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$6วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 24, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from sources including the Met Office and GFS indicate partly to mostly clear skies overnight into September 24, promoting radiative cooling that favors minimum temperatures near 11–14°C in Istanbul, consistent with the closely matched market-implied odds across the 7–17°C range. Northwesterly winds of 5–10 km/h and dew points around 10°C limit mixing and moisture, while any lingering cloud cover from the prior rainy period could moderate the low by 1–2°C. Historical September averages near 17°C provide context, but the current synoptic shift toward drier air differentiates the lower bins. Turkish Meteorological Service updates and final model runs before dawn represent the key near-term catalysts for traders.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย