Recent model guidance points to a transition toward cooler northerly airflow over southern England by July 18, following an extended period of above-average warmth and multiple heatwaves across the UK this summer. This shift, driven by changing pressure patterns, supports minimum temperatures clustering around 13–16°C in London, consistent with climatological July overnight lows near 13°C yet tempered by the preceding warmth. Trader positioning reflects this uncertainty, with elevated implied probability on the 11°C-or-below outcome alongside mid-teens bins, as ensemble forecasts show modest spread in boundary-layer cooling and cloud cover. The Met Office and ECMWF will issue updated guidance in the next 24–48 hours that could further refine these ranges ahead of the overnight period.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in London on July 18?
Lowest temperature in London on July 18?
16°C 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$24,171 ปริมาณ
$24,171 ปริมาณ
Jul 18, 2026
11°C or below
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
Yes
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C or higher
No
16°C 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$24,171 ปริมาณ
$24,171 ปริมาณ
Jul 18, 2026
11°C or below
$986 ปริมาณ
No
12°C
$1,372 ปริมาณ
No
13°C
$2,103 ปริมาณ
No
14°C
$1,719 ปริมาณ
No
15°C
$2,918 ปริมาณ
No
16°C
$7,467 ปริมาณ
Yes
17°C
$5,588 ปริมาณ
No
18°C
$843 ปริมาณ
No
19°C
$443 ปริมาณ
No
20°C
$517 ปริมาณ
No
21°C or higher
$217 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model guidance points to a transition toward cooler northerly airflow over southern England by July 18, following an extended period of above-average warmth and multiple heatwaves across the UK this summer. This shift, driven by changing pressure patterns, supports minimum temperatures clustering around 13–16°C in London, consistent with climatological July overnight lows near 13°C yet tempered by the preceding warmth. Trader positioning reflects this uncertainty, with elevated implied probability on the 11°C-or-below outcome alongside mid-teens bins, as ensemble forecasts show modest spread in boundary-layer cooling and cloud cover. The Met Office and ECMWF will issue updated guidance in the next 24–48 hours that could further refine these ranges ahead of the overnight period.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$24,171วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model guidance points to a transition toward cooler northerly airflow over southern England by July 18, following an extended period of above-average warmth and multiple heatwaves across the UK this summer. This shift, driven by changing pressure patterns, supports minimum temperatures clustering around 13–16°C in London, consistent with climatological July overnight lows near 13°C yet tempered by the preceding warmth. Trader positioning reflects this uncertainty, with elevated implied probability on the 11°C-or-below outcome alongside mid-teens bins, as ensemble forecasts show modest spread in boundary-layer cooling and cloud cover. The Met Office and ECMWF will issue updated guidance in the next 24–48 hours that could further refine these ranges ahead of the overnight period.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$24,171วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Recent model guidance points to a transition toward cooler northerly airflow over southern England by July 18, following an extended period of above-average warmth and multiple heatwaves across the UK this summer. This shift, driven by changing pressure patterns, supports minimum temperatures clustering around 13–16°C in London, consistent with climatological July overnight lows near 13°C yet tempered by the preceding warmth. Trader positioning reflects this uncertainty, with elevated implied probability on the 11°C-or-below outcome alongside mid-teens bins, as ensemble forecasts show modest spread in boundary-layer cooling and cloud cover. The Met Office and ECMWF will issue updated guidance in the next 24–48 hours that could further refine these ranges ahead of the overnight period.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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