Recent Met Office and ECMWF model consensus shows clear skies and light winds under high pressure favoring radiative cooling, producing an overnight minimum near 13°C for London on June 13. This aligns with climatological June lows of 11–14°C and the latest high-resolution UKV runs, driving the market-implied 99.5% probability for that exact outcome. Traders weigh these verified forecast thresholds against resolution criteria tied to official observations. A sudden increase in cloud cover, stronger winds, or unforecast warm advection could realistically push the minimum above or below 13°C before final readings.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in London on June 13?
Lowest temperature in London on June 13?
13°C 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$15,645 ปริมาณ
$15,645 ปริมาณ
Jun 13, 2026
9°C or below
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
Yes
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C or higher
No
13°C 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$15,645 ปริมาณ
$15,645 ปริมาณ
Jun 13, 2026
9°C or below
$533 ปริมาณ
No
10°C
$700 ปริมาณ
No
11°C
$3,263 ปริมาณ
No
12°C
$2,006 ปริมาณ
No
13°C
$5,346 ปริมาณ
Yes
14°C
$1,365 ปริมาณ
No
15°C
$881 ปริมาณ
No
16°C
$691 ปริมาณ
No
17°C
$345 ปริมาณ
No
18°C
$251 ปริมาณ
No
19°C or higher
$265 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and ECMWF model consensus shows clear skies and light winds under high pressure favoring radiative cooling, producing an overnight minimum near 13°C for London on June 13. This aligns with climatological June lows of 11–14°C and the latest high-resolution UKV runs, driving the market-implied 99.5% probability for that exact outcome. Traders weigh these verified forecast thresholds against resolution criteria tied to official observations. A sudden increase in cloud cover, stronger winds, or unforecast warm advection could realistically push the minimum above or below 13°C before final readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 11, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$15,645วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 13, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 11, 2026, 12:32 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and ECMWF model consensus shows clear skies and light winds under high pressure favoring radiative cooling, producing an overnight minimum near 13°C for London on June 13. This aligns with climatological June lows of 11–14°C and the latest high-resolution UKV runs, driving the market-implied 99.5% probability for that exact outcome. Traders weigh these verified forecast thresholds against resolution criteria tied to official observations. A sudden increase in cloud cover, stronger winds, or unforecast warm advection could realistically push the minimum above or below 13°C before final readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$15,645วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 13, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 11, 2026, 12:32 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Recent Met Office and ECMWF model consensus shows clear skies and light winds under high pressure favoring radiative cooling, producing an overnight minimum near 13°C for London on June 13. This aligns with climatological June lows of 11–14°C and the latest high-resolution UKV runs, driving the market-implied 99.5% probability for that exact outcome. Traders weigh these verified forecast thresholds against resolution criteria tied to official observations. A sudden increase in cloud cover, stronger winds, or unforecast warm advection could realistically push the minimum above or below 13°C before final readings.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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