Recent forecasts from Russian meteorological agencies and global models indicate overnight lows in Moscow on September 23 will likely fall between 11–14°C under the influence of an intermediate high-pressure ridge following cyclonic activity, keeping conditions 2–3°C above seasonal norms with scattered light rain and easterly winds. This consensus supports market-implied probabilities clustering around mid-teens while the near-even split between 19°C+ and 9°C-or-below outcomes reflects model spread in minimum timing and localized cooling potential. Updated runs from the Hydrometeorological Center and similar sources in the next 24–48 hours will clarify whether steering patterns sustain the warm anomaly or allow sharper nocturnal drops.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Moscow on September 23?
19°C or higher 83%
9°C or below 41%
12°C 23%
11°C 23%
9°C or below
41%
10°C
21%
11°C
23%
12°C
23%
13°C
22%
14°C
21%
15°C
21%
16°C
17%
17°C
17%
18°C
7%
19°C or higher
83%
19°C or higher 83%
9°C or below 41%
12°C 23%
11°C 23%
9°C or below
41%
10°C
21%
11°C
23%
12°C
23%
13°C
22%
14°C
21%
15°C
21%
16°C
17%
17°C
17%
18°C
7%
19°C or higher
83%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Russian meteorological agencies and global models indicate overnight lows in Moscow on September 23 will likely fall between 11–14°C under the influence of an intermediate high-pressure ridge following cyclonic activity, keeping conditions 2–3°C above seasonal norms with scattered light rain and easterly winds. This consensus supports market-implied probabilities clustering around mid-teens while the near-even split between 19°C+ and 9°C-or-below outcomes reflects model spread in minimum timing and localized cooling potential. Updated runs from the Hydrometeorological Center and similar sources in the next 24–48 hours will clarify whether steering patterns sustain the warm anomaly or allow sharper nocturnal drops.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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