Recent forecast model runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and German Weather Service show notable spread in overnight radiative cooling for Munich on September 2, keeping the lowest temperature near the 9–14 °C range. Clear skies and light winds would favor stronger cooling toward single digits, while increased cloud cover or a mild southerly flow would limit the drop. With the date only days away, traders are weighting the latest ensemble guidance and local observations that show modest day-to-day shifts in boundary-layer moisture and 850 hPa temperatures. Historical early-September climatology for the city places typical nighttime lows around 11–13 °C, underscoring why outcomes clustered in this band dominate market-implied odds amid genuine short-term uncertainty.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Munich on September 2?
14°C 96%
11°C 95%
13°C 94%
10°C 93%
9°C or below
-
10°C
93%
11°C
95%
12°C
84%
13°C
94%
14°C
96%
15°C
16%
16°C
13%
17°C
11%
18°C
13%
19°C or higher
6%
14°C 96%
11°C 95%
13°C 94%
10°C 93%
9°C or below
-
10°C
93%
11°C
95%
12°C
84%
13°C
94%
14°C
96%
15°C
16%
16°C
13%
17°C
11%
18°C
13%
19°C or higher
6%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 31, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and German Weather Service show notable spread in overnight radiative cooling for Munich on September 2, keeping the lowest temperature near the 9–14 °C range. Clear skies and light winds would favor stronger cooling toward single digits, while increased cloud cover or a mild southerly flow would limit the drop. With the date only days away, traders are weighting the latest ensemble guidance and local observations that show modest day-to-day shifts in boundary-layer moisture and 850 hPa temperatures. Historical early-September climatology for the city places typical nighttime lows around 11–13 °C, underscoring why outcomes clustered in this band dominate market-implied odds amid genuine short-term uncertainty.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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