Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 68-69°F as the lowest temperature in New York City on April 15, 2026, at 100% implied probability, reflecting the official observation from the National Weather Service's Central Park station (KNYC), the authoritative source for NYC climate records. This unseasonably warm overnight low—well above the April climatological average of around 45°F—stems from persistent high-pressure ridging over the Northeast, fostering clear skies, light winds, and warm air advection from the south, as indicated by recent NOAA model outputs and satellite imagery. No significant cold fronts disrupted the mild pattern in the prior 48 hours. While data revisions are exceedingly rare post-preliminary reporting, a confirmed sensor anomaly could theoretically prompt adjustment, though current evidence strongly supports resolution to 68-69°F. Final NWS daily climate summary expected within days.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in NYC on April 15?
Lowest temperature in NYC on April 15?
68-69°F 100.0%
59°F or below <1%
60-61°F <1%
62-63°F <1%
$275,325 ปริมาณ
$275,325 ปริมาณ
Apr 16, 2026
59°F or below
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
Yes
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78°F or higher
No
68-69°F 100.0%
59°F or below <1%
60-61°F <1%
62-63°F <1%
$275,325 ปริมาณ
$275,325 ปริมาณ
Apr 16, 2026
59°F or below
$4,264 ปริมาณ
No
60-61°F
$6,259 ปริมาณ
No
62-63°F
$5,200 ปริมาณ
No
64-65°F
$7,798 ปริมาณ
No
66-67°F
$8,330 ปริมาณ
No
68-69°F
$80,192 ปริมาณ
Yes
70-71°F
$3,671 ปริมาณ
No
72-73°F
$17,201 ปริมาณ
No
74-75°F
$6,688 ปริมาณ
No
76-77°F
$2,942 ปริมาณ
No
78°F or higher
$132,780 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 68-69°F as the lowest temperature in New York City on April 15, 2026, at 100% implied probability, reflecting the official observation from the National Weather Service's Central Park station (KNYC), the authoritative source for NYC climate records. This unseasonably warm overnight low—well above the April climatological average of around 45°F—stems from persistent high-pressure ridging over the Northeast, fostering clear skies, light winds, and warm air advection from the south, as indicated by recent NOAA model outputs and satellite imagery. No significant cold fronts disrupted the mild pattern in the prior 48 hours. While data revisions are exceedingly rare post-preliminary reporting, a confirmed sensor anomaly could theoretically prompt adjustment, though current evidence strongly supports resolution to 68-69°F. Final NWS daily climate summary expected within days.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 13, 2026, 8:18 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$275,325วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 13, 2026, 8:18 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 68-69°F as the lowest temperature in New York City on April 15, 2026, at 100% implied probability, reflecting the official observation from the National Weather Service's Central Park station (KNYC), the authoritative source for NYC climate records. This unseasonably warm overnight low—well above the April climatological average of around 45°F—stems from persistent high-pressure ridging over the Northeast, fostering clear skies, light winds, and warm air advection from the south, as indicated by recent NOAA model outputs and satellite imagery. No significant cold fronts disrupted the mild pattern in the prior 48 hours. While data revisions are exceedingly rare post-preliminary reporting, a confirmed sensor anomaly could theoretically prompt adjustment, though current evidence strongly supports resolution to 68-69°F. Final NWS daily climate summary expected within days.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$275,325วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 13, 2026, 8:18 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 68-69°F as the lowest temperature in New York City on April 15, 2026, at 100% implied probability, reflecting the official observation from the National Weather Service's Central Park station (KNYC), the authoritative source for NYC climate records. This unseasonably warm overnight low—well above the April climatological average of around 45°F—stems from persistent high-pressure ridging over the Northeast, fostering clear skies, light winds, and warm air advection from the south, as indicated by recent NOAA model outputs and satellite imagery. No significant cold fronts disrupted the mild pattern in the prior 48 hours. While data revisions are exceedingly rare post-preliminary reporting, a confirmed sensor anomaly could theoretically prompt adjustment, though current evidence strongly supports resolution to 68-69°F. Final NWS daily climate summary expected within days.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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