Official observations from the National Weather Service's Central Park station (KNYC) in New York City confirm the lowest temperature on May 5, 2026, reached 56-57°F, driving unanimous trader consensus with 100% implied probability for that outcome as aggregated capital reflects verified data. This aligns with mild early-May climatology, where daily low temperatures typically average 52-55°F amid warming spring patterns, southerly airflow, and urban heat island effects that buffer extremes. Model forecasts from NOAA's Global Forecast System had anticipated mid-50s lows, matching the observed minimum from automated sensors. Realistic challenges are negligible post-initial reporting, though rare quality-control revisions by NOAA could adjust values if instrument anomalies emerge; finalized daily climate data expected soon.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in NYC on May 5?
Lowest temperature in NYC on May 5?
56-57°F 100.0%
51°F or below <1%
52-53°F <1%
54-55°F <1%
$30,664 ปริมาณ
$30,664 ปริมาณ
May 5, 2026
51°F or below
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
Yes
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70°F or higher
No
56-57°F 100.0%
51°F or below <1%
52-53°F <1%
54-55°F <1%
$30,664 ปริมาณ
$30,664 ปริมาณ
May 5, 2026
51°F or below
$5,204 ปริมาณ
No
52-53°F
$2,855 ปริมาณ
No
54-55°F
$2,517 ปริมาณ
No
56-57°F
$6,295 ปริมาณ
Yes
58-59°F
$2,813 ปริมาณ
No
60-61°F
$1,268 ปริมาณ
No
62-63°F
$2,558 ปริมาณ
No
64-65°F
$1,815 ปริมาณ
No
66-67°F
$760 ปริมาณ
No
68-69°F
$455 ปริมาณ
No
70°F or higher
$4,125 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the National Weather Service's Central Park station (KNYC) in New York City confirm the lowest temperature on May 5, 2026, reached 56-57°F, driving unanimous trader consensus with 100% implied probability for that outcome as aggregated capital reflects verified data. This aligns with mild early-May climatology, where daily low temperatures typically average 52-55°F amid warming spring patterns, southerly airflow, and urban heat island effects that buffer extremes. Model forecasts from NOAA's Global Forecast System had anticipated mid-50s lows, matching the observed minimum from automated sensors. Realistic challenges are negligible post-initial reporting, though rare quality-control revisions by NOAA could adjust values if instrument anomalies emerge; finalized daily climate data expected soon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 3, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$30,664วันสิ้นสุด
May 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 3, 2026, 12:02 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the National Weather Service's Central Park station (KNYC) in New York City confirm the lowest temperature on May 5, 2026, reached 56-57°F, driving unanimous trader consensus with 100% implied probability for that outcome as aggregated capital reflects verified data. This aligns with mild early-May climatology, where daily low temperatures typically average 52-55°F amid warming spring patterns, southerly airflow, and urban heat island effects that buffer extremes. Model forecasts from NOAA's Global Forecast System had anticipated mid-50s lows, matching the observed minimum from automated sensors. Realistic challenges are negligible post-initial reporting, though rare quality-control revisions by NOAA could adjust values if instrument anomalies emerge; finalized daily climate data expected soon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$30,664วันสิ้นสุด
May 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 3, 2026, 12:02 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Official observations from the National Weather Service's Central Park station (KNYC) in New York City confirm the lowest temperature on May 5, 2026, reached 56-57°F, driving unanimous trader consensus with 100% implied probability for that outcome as aggregated capital reflects verified data. This aligns with mild early-May climatology, where daily low temperatures typically average 52-55°F amid warming spring patterns, southerly airflow, and urban heat island effects that buffer extremes. Model forecasts from NOAA's Global Forecast System had anticipated mid-50s lows, matching the observed minimum from automated sensors. Realistic challenges are negligible post-initial reporting, though rare quality-control revisions by NOAA could adjust values if instrument anomalies emerge; finalized daily climate data expected soon.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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