Current surface observations and short-range model consensus from European meteorological services point to a minimum of 12°C in Paris tonight, driven by clear skies, light northwesterly winds, and radiative cooling under a stable high-pressure ridge. This aligns with the seasonal baseline low near 12°C while exceeding recent years’ warmer anomalies. Trader consensus at 99.5% for exactly 12°C reflects high confidence in these conditions persisting through the overnight period. A realistic shift would require increased cloud cover or a faster-moving warm front, both of which current guidance assigns low probability before dawn.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Paris on September 12?
Lowest temperature in Paris on September 12?
12°C 99.5%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$18,003 ปริมาณ
$18,003 ปริมาณ
Sep 12, 2026
8°C or below
1%
9°C
1%
10°C
1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
100%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
12°C 99.5%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$18,003 ปริมาณ
$18,003 ปริมาณ
Sep 12, 2026
8°C or below
$95 ปริมาณ
1%
9°C
$15 ปริมาณ
1%
10°C
$95 ปริมาณ
1%
11°C
$1,171 ปริมาณ
<1%
12°C
$2,347 ปริมาณ
100%
13°C
$11,497 ปริมาณ
<1%
14°C
$2,498 ปริมาณ
<1%
15°C
$234 ปริมาณ
<1%
16°C
$35 ปริมาณ
<1%
17°C
$0 ปริมาณ
<1%
18°C or higher
$15 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current surface observations and short-range model consensus from European meteorological services point to a minimum of 12°C in Paris tonight, driven by clear skies, light northwesterly winds, and radiative cooling under a stable high-pressure ridge. This aligns with the seasonal baseline low near 12°C while exceeding recent years’ warmer anomalies. Trader consensus at 99.5% for exactly 12°C reflects high confidence in these conditions persisting through the overnight period. A realistic shift would require increased cloud cover or a faster-moving warm front, both of which current guidance assigns low probability before dawn.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$18,003วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 12, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current surface observations and short-range model consensus from European meteorological services point to a minimum of 12°C in Paris tonight, driven by clear skies, light northwesterly winds, and radiative cooling under a stable high-pressure ridge. This aligns with the seasonal baseline low near 12°C while exceeding recent years’ warmer anomalies. Trader consensus at 99.5% for exactly 12°C reflects high confidence in these conditions persisting through the overnight period. A realistic shift would require increased cloud cover or a faster-moving warm front, both of which current guidance assigns low probability before dawn.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$18,003วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 12, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Current surface observations and short-range model consensus from European meteorological services point to a minimum of 12°C in Paris tonight, driven by clear skies, light northwesterly winds, and radiative cooling under a stable high-pressure ridge. This aligns with the seasonal baseline low near 12°C while exceeding recent years’ warmer anomalies. Trader consensus at 99.5% for exactly 12°C reflects high confidence in these conditions persisting through the overnight period. A realistic shift would require increased cloud cover or a faster-moving warm front, both of which current guidance assigns low probability before dawn.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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