Official forecasts from the Qingdao Meteorological Observatory and multiple numerical models indicate a minimum temperature of 26°C for August 27, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure maintaining elevated overnight readings under partly to mostly cloudy skies, light easterly flow, and high humidity near 90%. This aligns with climatological norms for late August in the region, where typical lows hover near 22–24°C but recent patterns have kept values several degrees warmer. The market-implied 95.5% probability on exactly 26°C reflects strong consensus across updated model runs showing limited overnight cooling. Realistic challenges include stronger northerly winds or clearer skies enhancing radiative cooling to push readings to 25°C or below, though current steering patterns and moisture make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Qingdao on August 27?
Lowest temperature in Qingdao on August 27?
26°C 99.5%
22°C or below 5%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$1,725 ปริมาณ
$1,725 ปริมาณ
Aug 27, 2026
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
26°C 99.5%
22°C or below 5%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$1,725 ปริมาณ
$1,725 ปริมาณ
Aug 27, 2026
22°C or below
$213 ปริมาณ
No
23°C
$56 ปริมาณ
No
24°C
$45 ปริมาณ
No
25°C
$86 ปริมาณ
No
26°C
$518 ปริมาณ
Yes
27°C
$90 ปริมาณ
No
28°C
$79 ปริมาณ
No
29°C
$358 ปริมาณ
No
30°C
$205 ปริมาณ
No
31°C
$40 ปริมาณ
No
32°C or higher
$35 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Qingdao Meteorological Observatory and multiple numerical models indicate a minimum temperature of 26°C for August 27, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure maintaining elevated overnight readings under partly to mostly cloudy skies, light easterly flow, and high humidity near 90%. This aligns with climatological norms for late August in the region, where typical lows hover near 22–24°C but recent patterns have kept values several degrees warmer. The market-implied 95.5% probability on exactly 26°C reflects strong consensus across updated model runs showing limited overnight cooling. Realistic challenges include stronger northerly winds or clearer skies enhancing radiative cooling to push readings to 25°C or below, though current steering patterns and moisture make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 25, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,725วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 27, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 25, 2026, 12:32 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Qingdao Meteorological Observatory and multiple numerical models indicate a minimum temperature of 26°C for August 27, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure maintaining elevated overnight readings under partly to mostly cloudy skies, light easterly flow, and high humidity near 90%. This aligns with climatological norms for late August in the region, where typical lows hover near 22–24°C but recent patterns have kept values several degrees warmer. The market-implied 95.5% probability on exactly 26°C reflects strong consensus across updated model runs showing limited overnight cooling. Realistic challenges include stronger northerly winds or clearer skies enhancing radiative cooling to push readings to 25°C or below, though current steering patterns and moisture make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,725วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 27, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 25, 2026, 12:32 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Official forecasts from the Qingdao Meteorological Observatory and multiple numerical models indicate a minimum temperature of 26°C for August 27, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure maintaining elevated overnight readings under partly to mostly cloudy skies, light easterly flow, and high humidity near 90%. This aligns with climatological norms for late August in the region, where typical lows hover near 22–24°C but recent patterns have kept values several degrees warmer. The market-implied 95.5% probability on exactly 26°C reflects strong consensus across updated model runs showing limited overnight cooling. Realistic challenges include stronger northerly winds or clearer skies enhancing radiative cooling to push readings to 25°C or below, though current steering patterns and moisture make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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