Recent ensemble forecasts from global models show Seoul-Incheon overnight minima on September 26 clustering near 17–20 °C amid light easterly flow and partly cloudy conditions, creating the near-even market split between 25 °C-or-higher (43.0 %) and 15 °C-or-below (42.5 %) outcomes. Model spread arises from uncertainty in the timing and strength of a weak frontal boundary and modest northerly advection, which could either hold temperatures above 20 °C or allow brief radiational cooling under clearer skies. Historical September climatology for the region centers around 18–19 °C lows, so current guidance remains within normal bounds. Updated high-resolution runs from the Korea Meteorological Administration and ECMWF overnight will likely narrow the implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 26?
Lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 26?
15°C or below 42.5%
25°C or higher 42.5%
18°C 40%
23°C 33%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 26, 2026
15°C or below
43%
16°C
32%
17°C
32%
18°C
40%
19°C
29%
20°C
15%
21°C
29%
22°C
32%
23°C
33%
24°C
33%
25°C or higher
43%
15°C or below 42.5%
25°C or higher 42.5%
18°C 40%
23°C 33%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 26, 2026
15°C or below
$0 ปริมาณ
43%
16°C
$0 ปริมาณ
32%
17°C
$0 ปริมาณ
32%
18°C
$0 ปริมาณ
40%
19°C
$0 ปริมาณ
29%
20°C
$0 ปริมาณ
15%
21°C
$9 ปริมาณ
29%
22°C
$0 ปริมาณ
32%
23°C
$0 ปริมาณ
33%
24°C
$0 ปริมาณ
33%
25°C or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
43%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global models show Seoul-Incheon overnight minima on September 26 clustering near 17–20 °C amid light easterly flow and partly cloudy conditions, creating the near-even market split between 25 °C-or-higher (43.0 %) and 15 °C-or-below (42.5 %) outcomes. Model spread arises from uncertainty in the timing and strength of a weak frontal boundary and modest northerly advection, which could either hold temperatures above 20 °C or allow brief radiational cooling under clearer skies. Historical September climatology for the region centers around 18–19 °C lows, so current guidance remains within normal bounds. Updated high-resolution runs from the Korea Meteorological Administration and ECMWF overnight will likely narrow the implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$9วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 26, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47de9d...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global models show Seoul-Incheon overnight minima on September 26 clustering near 17–20 °C amid light easterly flow and partly cloudy conditions, creating the near-even market split between 25 °C-or-higher (43.0 %) and 15 °C-or-below (42.5 %) outcomes. Model spread arises from uncertainty in the timing and strength of a weak frontal boundary and modest northerly advection, which could either hold temperatures above 20 °C or allow brief radiational cooling under clearer skies. Historical September climatology for the region centers around 18–19 °C lows, so current guidance remains within normal bounds. Updated high-resolution runs from the Korea Meteorological Administration and ECMWF overnight will likely narrow the implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$9วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 26, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47de9d...Recent ensemble forecasts from global models show Seoul-Incheon overnight minima on September 26 clustering near 17–20 °C amid light easterly flow and partly cloudy conditions, creating the near-even market split between 25 °C-or-higher (43.0 %) and 15 °C-or-below (42.5 %) outcomes. Model spread arises from uncertainty in the timing and strength of a weak frontal boundary and modest northerly advection, which could either hold temperatures above 20 °C or allow brief radiational cooling under clearer skies. Historical September climatology for the region centers around 18–19 °C lows, so current guidance remains within normal bounds. Updated high-resolution runs from the Korea Meteorological Administration and ECMWF overnight will likely narrow the implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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