**Recent forecasts for Shanghai show overnight lows holding near 26–27°C on August 21, supported by persistent high humidity, cloud cover, and light rain that limit nighttime radiative cooling.** Official and extended outlooks from sources including AccuWeather and climate summaries indicate typical late-August conditions with minimum temperatures in the mid- to upper-20s Celsius, consistent with the market’s heavy weighting toward 27°C (57%) and 26°C (25.5%). Light showers and overcast skies expected through the period reduce the diurnal temperature range, while regional moisture and urban heat effects further anchor lows above 25°C. Model consensus shows little deviation from seasonal baselines, with no incoming cold fronts or typhoon influences to drive sharper drops. Upcoming short-range updates from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration will refine exact values, but current atmospheric patterns favor the narrow 26–27°C band as the most probable outcome.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Shanghai on August 21?
27°C 57%
26°C 26%
28°C 11%
25°C 5%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
5%
26°C
26%
27°C
57%
28°C
11%
29°C
2%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 57%
26°C 26%
28°C 11%
25°C 5%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
5%
26°C
26%
27°C
57%
28°C
11%
29°C
2%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 19, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent forecasts for Shanghai show overnight lows holding near 26–27°C on August 21, supported by persistent high humidity, cloud cover, and light rain that limit nighttime radiative cooling.** Official and extended outlooks from sources including AccuWeather and climate summaries indicate typical late-August conditions with minimum temperatures in the mid- to upper-20s Celsius, consistent with the market’s heavy weighting toward 27°C (57%) and 26°C (25.5%). Light showers and overcast skies expected through the period reduce the diurnal temperature range, while regional moisture and urban heat effects further anchor lows above 25°C. Model consensus shows little deviation from seasonal baselines, with no incoming cold fronts or typhoon influences to drive sharper drops. Upcoming short-range updates from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration will refine exact values, but current atmospheric patterns favor the narrow 26–27°C band as the most probable outcome.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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