Recent official forecasts from Environment Canada project a high of 23°C for Toronto on August 19 under cloudy skies with a 60% chance of showers, suppressing solar heating and limiting afternoon temperature rise compared to the mid-August climatological average near 25°C. This setup favors outcomes clustered around 24–26°C as leading market-implied probabilities, with 26°C at 37% reflecting trader assessment that partial clearing or delayed precipitation could allow modest warming. Numerical weather models show limited consensus on exact cloud timing and shower coverage, introducing uncertainty that elevates the 25°C and 27°C bins while discounting extremes above 28°C or below 23°C. Proximity to resolution tomorrow concentrates attention on the latest model runs and surface observations that will determine the official maximum.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Toronto on August 19?
Highest temperature in Toronto on August 19?
26°C 37%
25°C 26%
27°C 17%
24°C 15%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 19, 2026
22°C or below
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
15%
25°C
26%
26°C
37%
27°C
17%
28°C
2%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
26°C 37%
25°C 26%
27°C 17%
24°C 15%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 19, 2026
22°C or below
$5 ปริมาณ
1%
23°C
$52 ปริมาณ
2%
24°C
$5 ปริมาณ
15%
25°C
$67 ปริมาณ
26%
26°C
$76 ปริมาณ
37%
27°C
$33 ปริมาณ
17%
28°C
$46 ปริมาณ
2%
29°C
$5 ปริมาณ
1%
30°C
$80 ปริมาณ
1%
31°C
$5 ปริมาณ
<1%
32°C or higher
$10 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from Environment Canada project a high of 23°C for Toronto on August 19 under cloudy skies with a 60% chance of showers, suppressing solar heating and limiting afternoon temperature rise compared to the mid-August climatological average near 25°C. This setup favors outcomes clustered around 24–26°C as leading market-implied probabilities, with 26°C at 37% reflecting trader assessment that partial clearing or delayed precipitation could allow modest warming. Numerical weather models show limited consensus on exact cloud timing and shower coverage, introducing uncertainty that elevates the 25°C and 27°C bins while discounting extremes above 28°C or below 23°C. Proximity to resolution tomorrow concentrates attention on the latest model runs and surface observations that will determine the official maximum.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 17, 2026, 9:55 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$385วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 19, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 17, 2026, 9:55 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from Environment Canada project a high of 23°C for Toronto on August 19 under cloudy skies with a 60% chance of showers, suppressing solar heating and limiting afternoon temperature rise compared to the mid-August climatological average near 25°C. This setup favors outcomes clustered around 24–26°C as leading market-implied probabilities, with 26°C at 37% reflecting trader assessment that partial clearing or delayed precipitation could allow modest warming. Numerical weather models show limited consensus on exact cloud timing and shower coverage, introducing uncertainty that elevates the 25°C and 27°C bins while discounting extremes above 28°C or below 23°C. Proximity to resolution tomorrow concentrates attention on the latest model runs and surface observations that will determine the official maximum.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$385วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 19, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 17, 2026, 9:55 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from Environment Canada project a high of 23°C for Toronto on August 19 under cloudy skies with a 60% chance of showers, suppressing solar heating and limiting afternoon temperature rise compared to the mid-August climatological average near 25°C. This setup favors outcomes clustered around 24–26°C as leading market-implied probabilities, with 26°C at 37% reflecting trader assessment that partial clearing or delayed precipitation could allow modest warming. Numerical weather models show limited consensus on exact cloud timing and shower coverage, introducing uncertainty that elevates the 25°C and 27°C bins while discounting extremes above 28°C or below 23°C. Proximity to resolution tomorrow concentrates attention on the latest model runs and surface observations that will determine the official maximum.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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