Current forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and AccuWeather indicate overnight lows near 24–25°C for Tokyo on August 20 amid stable summer high-pressure patterns and scattered showers, aligning with climatological norms of 23–25°C minimums and supporting the market’s leading 25°C outcome at 46% implied probability. Recent model consensus shows limited variability, with no typhoon influence or frontal systems projected to drive unusual cooling or warming, while urban heat retention and high humidity further anchor temperatures in this narrow band. Traders are monitoring the next JMA update for any shifts in steering winds or moisture that could alter the 24–26°C cluster holding over 85% combined probability.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Tokyo on August 20?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on August 20?
25°C 46%
26°C 18%
24°C 14%
23°C 10%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 20, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
6%
23°C
10%
24°C
21%
25°C
46%
26°C
18%
27°C
9%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
25°C 46%
26°C 18%
24°C 14%
23°C 10%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 20, 2026
20°C or below
$9 ปริมาณ
<1%
21°C
$40 ปริมาณ
1%
22°C
$4 ปริมาณ
6%
23°C
$4 ปริมาณ
10%
24°C
$4 ปริมาณ
21%
25°C
$36 ปริมาณ
46%
26°C
$16 ปริมาณ
18%
27°C
$4 ปริมาณ
9%
28°C
$4 ปริมาณ
1%
29°C
$133 ปริมาณ
<1%
30°C or higher
$4 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and AccuWeather indicate overnight lows near 24–25°C for Tokyo on August 20 amid stable summer high-pressure patterns and scattered showers, aligning with climatological norms of 23–25°C minimums and supporting the market’s leading 25°C outcome at 46% implied probability. Recent model consensus shows limited variability, with no typhoon influence or frontal systems projected to drive unusual cooling or warming, while urban heat retention and high humidity further anchor temperatures in this narrow band. Traders are monitoring the next JMA update for any shifts in steering winds or moisture that could alter the 24–26°C cluster holding over 85% combined probability.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 18, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$255วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 18, 2026, 12:28 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and AccuWeather indicate overnight lows near 24–25°C for Tokyo on August 20 amid stable summer high-pressure patterns and scattered showers, aligning with climatological norms of 23–25°C minimums and supporting the market’s leading 25°C outcome at 46% implied probability. Recent model consensus shows limited variability, with no typhoon influence or frontal systems projected to drive unusual cooling or warming, while urban heat retention and high humidity further anchor temperatures in this narrow band. Traders are monitoring the next JMA update for any shifts in steering winds or moisture that could alter the 24–26°C cluster holding over 85% combined probability.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$255วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 18, 2026, 12:28 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and AccuWeather indicate overnight lows near 24–25°C for Tokyo on August 20 amid stable summer high-pressure patterns and scattered showers, aligning with climatological norms of 23–25°C minimums and supporting the market’s leading 25°C outcome at 46% implied probability. Recent model consensus shows limited variability, with no typhoon influence or frontal systems projected to drive unusual cooling or warming, while urban heat retention and high humidity further anchor temperatures in this narrow band. Traders are monitoring the next JMA update for any shifts in steering winds or moisture that could alter the 24–26°C cluster holding over 85% combined probability.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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