Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for Chicago on August 19, 2026, centers on highs near 79–81°F amid variable cloud cover, possible morning thunderstorms, and a west-to-northwest wind shift. These conditions reflect modest moderation from seasonal normals around 82°F, driven by lingering effects of mid-August frontal passages and increased atmospheric moisture that limits full insolation. Model consensus favors this range over extremes, as no strong ridge or heat advection is indicated in the latest runs. Trader positioning aligns with these verified short-range outlooks from authoritative agencies, with the 78–81°F bins capturing the bulk of implied probability while acknowledging typical forecast uncertainty from timing of any convection or boundary-layer mixing. Updated model guidance expected within the next 24 hours could refine the exact peak.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Chicago on August 19?
Highest temperature in Chicago on August 19?
78-79°F 40%
80-81°F 28%
76-77°F 20%
82-83°F 9%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 19, 2026
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
6%
76-77°F
20%
78-79°F
40%
80-81°F
28%
82-83°F
9%
84-85°F
2%
86°F or higher
<1%
78-79°F 40%
80-81°F 28%
76-77°F 20%
82-83°F 9%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 19, 2026
67°F or below
$20 ปริมาณ
<1%
68-69°F
$35 ปริมาณ
<1%
70-71°F
$80 ปริมาณ
1%
72-73°F
$46 ปริมาณ
1%
74-75°F
$146 ปริมาณ
6%
76-77°F
$163 ปริมาณ
20%
78-79°F
$145 ปริมาณ
40%
80-81°F
$90 ปริมาณ
28%
82-83°F
$408 ปริมาณ
9%
84-85°F
$112 ปริมาณ
2%
86°F or higher
$101 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for Chicago on August 19, 2026, centers on highs near 79–81°F amid variable cloud cover, possible morning thunderstorms, and a west-to-northwest wind shift. These conditions reflect modest moderation from seasonal normals around 82°F, driven by lingering effects of mid-August frontal passages and increased atmospheric moisture that limits full insolation. Model consensus favors this range over extremes, as no strong ridge or heat advection is indicated in the latest runs. Trader positioning aligns with these verified short-range outlooks from authoritative agencies, with the 78–81°F bins capturing the bulk of implied probability while acknowledging typical forecast uncertainty from timing of any convection or boundary-layer mixing. Updated model guidance expected within the next 24 hours could refine the exact peak.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 17, 2026, 9:56 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,345วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 19, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 17, 2026, 9:56 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for Chicago on August 19, 2026, centers on highs near 79–81°F amid variable cloud cover, possible morning thunderstorms, and a west-to-northwest wind shift. These conditions reflect modest moderation from seasonal normals around 82°F, driven by lingering effects of mid-August frontal passages and increased atmospheric moisture that limits full insolation. Model consensus favors this range over extremes, as no strong ridge or heat advection is indicated in the latest runs. Trader positioning aligns with these verified short-range outlooks from authoritative agencies, with the 78–81°F bins capturing the bulk of implied probability while acknowledging typical forecast uncertainty from timing of any convection or boundary-layer mixing. Updated model guidance expected within the next 24 hours could refine the exact peak.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,345วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 19, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 17, 2026, 9:56 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for Chicago on August 19, 2026, centers on highs near 79–81°F amid variable cloud cover, possible morning thunderstorms, and a west-to-northwest wind shift. These conditions reflect modest moderation from seasonal normals around 82°F, driven by lingering effects of mid-August frontal passages and increased atmospheric moisture that limits full insolation. Model consensus favors this range over extremes, as no strong ridge or heat advection is indicated in the latest runs. Trader positioning aligns with these verified short-range outlooks from authoritative agencies, with the 78–81°F bins capturing the bulk of implied probability while acknowledging typical forecast uncertainty from timing of any convection or boundary-layer mixing. Updated model guidance expected within the next 24 hours could refine the exact peak.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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