Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Shanghai's overnight low on August 31 will likely fall in the mid-20s °C, driven by persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and elevated humidity that limits radiative cooling. Consensus from sources such as the Met Office and regional models points to minima near 25–27 °C under variable southeast winds and light precipitation chances, consistent with late-summer climatology for the region. Market-implied odds cluster around 26–28 °C because small differences in forecast cloud timing or rainfall duration can shift the exact minimum by 1–2 °C; higher-probability outcomes above 32 °C reflect residual uncertainty in longer-range guidance but diverge from current observational trends and short-term model runs. Updated model outputs and official agency briefings over the next 48 hours will further refine resolution thresholds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Shanghai on August 31?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on August 31?
32°C or higher 43%
27°C 38%
29°C 30%
26°C 30%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 31, 2026
22°C or below
11%
23°C
14%
24°C
16%
25°C
28%
26°C
30%
27°C
38%
28°C
21%
29°C
30%
30°C
29%
31°C
2%
32°C or higher
43%
32°C or higher 43%
27°C 38%
29°C 30%
26°C 30%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 31, 2026
22°C or below
$0 ปริมาณ
11%
23°C
$0 ปริมาณ
14%
24°C
$0 ปริมาณ
16%
25°C
$0 ปริมาณ
28%
26°C
$0 ปริมาณ
30%
27°C
$0 ปริมาณ
38%
28°C
$0 ปริมาณ
21%
29°C
$0 ปริมาณ
30%
30°C
$0 ปริมาณ
29%
31°C
$0 ปริมาณ
2%
32°C or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
43%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Shanghai's overnight low on August 31 will likely fall in the mid-20s °C, driven by persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and elevated humidity that limits radiative cooling. Consensus from sources such as the Met Office and regional models points to minima near 25–27 °C under variable southeast winds and light precipitation chances, consistent with late-summer climatology for the region. Market-implied odds cluster around 26–28 °C because small differences in forecast cloud timing or rainfall duration can shift the exact minimum by 1–2 °C; higher-probability outcomes above 32 °C reflect residual uncertainty in longer-range guidance but diverge from current observational trends and short-term model runs. Updated model outputs and official agency briefings over the next 48 hours will further refine resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$0วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Shanghai's overnight low on August 31 will likely fall in the mid-20s °C, driven by persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and elevated humidity that limits radiative cooling. Consensus from sources such as the Met Office and regional models points to minima near 25–27 °C under variable southeast winds and light precipitation chances, consistent with late-summer climatology for the region. Market-implied odds cluster around 26–28 °C because small differences in forecast cloud timing or rainfall duration can shift the exact minimum by 1–2 °C; higher-probability outcomes above 32 °C reflect residual uncertainty in longer-range guidance but diverge from current observational trends and short-term model runs. Updated model outputs and official agency briefings over the next 48 hours will further refine resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$0วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Shanghai's overnight low on August 31 will likely fall in the mid-20s °C, driven by persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and elevated humidity that limits radiative cooling. Consensus from sources such as the Met Office and regional models points to minima near 25–27 °C under variable southeast winds and light precipitation chances, consistent with late-summer climatology for the region. Market-implied odds cluster around 26–28 °C because small differences in forecast cloud timing or rainfall duration can shift the exact minimum by 1–2 °C; higher-probability outcomes above 32 °C reflect residual uncertainty in longer-range guidance but diverge from current observational trends and short-term model runs. Updated model outputs and official agency briefings over the next 48 hours will further refine resolution thresholds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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