Recent forecasts for Shanghai on September 4 indicate overnight lows in the mid-20s °C range amid persistent northeast flow and high humidity near 70-80%, limiting radiative cooling under mostly cloudy to partly cloudy skies. Model guidance shows light winds and scattered showers or drizzle suppressing stronger nocturnal temperature drops, with consensus pointing toward 25-27°C as the likely minimum. Trader sentiment clusters on these outcomes because small variations in cloud cover, dew point depression, or steering patterns from upstream systems could shift the low by 1-2°C, while drier or clearer conditions would favor the lower tail and sustained moisture the higher end. Official updates from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these projections ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Shanghai on September 4?
27°C 40%
26°C 37%
25°C 16%
29°C 7%
21°C or below
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
6%
25°C
16%
26°C
37%
27°C
40%
28°C
6%
29°C
7%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
<1%
27°C 40%
26°C 37%
25°C 16%
29°C 7%
21°C or below
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
6%
25°C
16%
26°C
37%
27°C
40%
28°C
6%
29°C
7%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 2, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Shanghai on September 4 indicate overnight lows in the mid-20s °C range amid persistent northeast flow and high humidity near 70-80%, limiting radiative cooling under mostly cloudy to partly cloudy skies. Model guidance shows light winds and scattered showers or drizzle suppressing stronger nocturnal temperature drops, with consensus pointing toward 25-27°C as the likely minimum. Trader sentiment clusters on these outcomes because small variations in cloud cover, dew point depression, or steering patterns from upstream systems could shift the low by 1-2°C, while drier or clearer conditions would favor the lower tail and sustained moisture the higher end. Official updates from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these projections ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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